PnL all-time−$1,029vol $497k
PnL 30d−$1,826gains $0 · losses $2,248
PnL 7d−$662win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate98.3%adj 93.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$25.1kcash n/a
Positions5 / 198open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,048below peak −$9,923Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 98.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d43
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$2,481Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$2,321Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$441Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$430Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$372
Worst markets
Will D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw? · Noopen−$5,726Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$2,248Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noopen−$1,372Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,115Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Noopen−$636
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 18.6k | 79¢ | 77.5¢ | $14.4k | −$285 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 10.2k | 90.6¢ | 89¢ | $9,097 | −$159 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 3,770 | 52¢ | 39.5¢ | $1,489 | −$469 | −$903 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 620 | 65.3¢ | 20.5¢ | $127 | −$278 | −$359 | |
| Will D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw? | No | 5,504 | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,443 | −$283 |
Recent trades
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