PnL all-time+$211kvol $47.7M
PnL 30d+$145gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$45win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.1%adj 85.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$9,595cash n/a
Positions3 / 91open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.5%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$213kbelow peak −$55Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 94.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Noclosed+$63.9kNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$37.5kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$15.2kWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yesclosed+$10.4kTikTok banned in the US before May 2025? · Yesclosed+$9,725
Worst markets
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$912US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Noclosed−$699Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20? · Yesclosed−$664Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed−$638Knicks vs. Spurs · Spursopen−$480
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10.0k | 81¢ | 96¢ | $9,595 | +$1,495 | $0 | |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 750 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$480 | $0 | |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | No | 250 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | −$1.81 |
Recent trades
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