sharpside
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RossLe9207

0x7ea…3562@EerieM92955
PoliticsSportCultureOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$450vol $241k
PnL 30d+$1.46gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.76win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.0%adj 57.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$964cash n/a
Positions19 / 263open / all-time
Max drawdown−91.6%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$427below peak −$2,064Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 58.0% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity8

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersEastern Illinois Panthers64779.9¢100¢$647+$130$0
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsClemson Tigers62553¢50¢$313−$19$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes3871.3¢11¢$4.18−$23+$29
Alcorn State Braves vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsAlcorn State Braves1,51610.3¢0¢$0−$156$0
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes31424¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes31011¢0¢$0−$34$0
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No29227.3¢0¢$0−$80−$26
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsTexas Southern Tigers27715¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Leavitt say "Epstein" or "Hoax" during the next White House press briefing?Yes17328¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?No12989¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes10759¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?No459¢0¢$0−$4.05$0
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No3574¢0¢$0−$26+$8.90
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes3362¢0¢$0−$20−$2.24
Will Pluribus win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes514¢0¢$0−$0.70−$0.82
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No473¢0¢$0−$2.92+$25
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Yes138¢0¢$0−$0.38−$529
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes125.3¢0¢$0−$0.25+$7.70
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes12¢0¢$0−$0.02+$3.16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?78¢379$29658%38
SELL NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?78¢751$58658%38
SELL NoCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?28¢154$4358%38
SELL YesWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?91¢736$67058%38
SELL NoWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?10.5¢199$2158%38
SELL NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score22¢522$11558%38
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?57¢1,130$64458%38
SELL NoWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?37¢28$1058%38
SELL NoWill Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?64.1¢189$12158%38
BUY NoWill Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?67.2¢189$12758%38
BUY NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score84¢522$43858%38
SELL NoWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?41¢224$9258%38
SELL NoWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?41¢232$9558%38
SELL NoWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?91.4¢11$1058%38
SELL NoWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?91.4¢303$27758%38
SELL NoWill "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?86¢948$81558%38
SELL NoCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?50¢68$3458%38
SELL NoWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?79¢14$1158%38
SELL NoWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?79¢14$1158%38
SELL NoWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?79¢10$7.9058%38