sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,512

0x7f1…52f1

0x7f1…52f1
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,070vol $210k
PnL 30d+$1,245gains $1,237 · losses $166
PnL 7d+$65win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate82.2%adj 80.9% · 30d 89.6%
Open value$11.6kcash n/a
Positions136 / 636open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.9%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,631below peak −$148Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 82.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Yes1,24672.1¢79¢$984+$86$0
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?No85796¢97.5¢$835+$12$0
Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No71595.7¢99.5¢$711+$27$0
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?No55692¢94.7¢$526+$15$0
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?Yes47393.7¢94.5¢$447+$3.88$0
Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?No52584.2¢83.2¢$436−$5.61$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes40092.9¢96.9¢$388+$16$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes41279.2¢90.5¢$373+$47$0
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?No40090.1¢92.1¢$368+$7.80$0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No30895.5¢96.1¢$296+$1.55$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No30084.1¢93.3¢$280+$27$0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No26791.5¢98.4¢$262+$18$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No29691¢88.4¢$261−$7.54$0
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes25190.6¢99¢$248+$21$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No24393¢94.5¢$230+$3.65$0
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No24790¢91.5¢$226+$3.70$0
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No20085¢99.6¢$199+$29$0
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No19297.4¢99.9¢$192+$4.77$0
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No19699¢97.5¢$191−$3.04$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No20082¢94.5¢$189+$25$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21678¢83¢$179+$11$0
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No17284¢99.5¢$171+$27$0
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No18595.7¢91.1¢$169−$8.50$0
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?No16896.8¢98.1¢$165+$2.10$0
Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Yes16893¢97¢$163+$6.72$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No16690.1¢94.6¢$157+$7.31$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21572.5¢65.5¢$141−$15$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?No13598.9¢99.9¢$135+$1.23$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No13490.4¢99.2¢$133+$12$0
Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbia presidential election?No13099¢99.9¢$130+$1.10$0
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No14081¢89.9¢$126+$12$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20069¢62.5¢$125−$13$0
Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?No14981¢83.5¢$124+$3.73$0
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?No15580.9¢80¢$124−$1.35$0
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?No14087.5¢87.5¢$122−$0.04$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No12198.9¢93.9¢$114−$6.15$0
Will Marquinhos finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No11596.1¢98¢$113+$2.15$0
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes16166.1¢70¢$113+$6.19$0
Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?Yes11485.9¢82.5¢$94−$3.87$0
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No9396.8¢99.7¢$93+$2.66$0
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes9695¢95.6¢$92+$0.53$0
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No9390¢92.5¢$86+$2.29$0
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No8396.9¢99.9¢$83+$2.51$0
Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from England?No11067.5¢71.5¢$79+$4.45$0
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7095.2¢96.2¢$67+$0.64$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7290.8¢92.5¢$66+$1.24$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No6598.9¢100¢$64+$0.68$0
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No6479.4¢95.8¢$61+$10$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes10749¢57¢$61+$8.59$0
Will Manchester City be deducted 1-9 Premier League points?No6191¢98.3¢$60+$4.42$0
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes26720.5¢20.5¢$55$0$0
Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No5387.5¢96.8¢$51+$4.90$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7867.3¢64.5¢$51−$2.17$0
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No4997.8¢99.9¢$49+$1.03$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5096.2¢98.2¢$49+$1.00$0
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3399¢99.2¢$33+$0.05$0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3299¢98.8¢$32−$0.06$0
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes14920¢20.5¢$31+$0.75$0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2499¢99.8¢$24+$0.18$0
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No3082.4¢78.5¢$24−$1.17$0
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes8514¢24.5¢$21+$8.93$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1599¢99.7¢$15+$0.10$0
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes1605.1¢9.4¢$15+$6.87$0
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3229.2¢46¢$15+$5.36$0
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1299¢99.8¢$12+$0.09$0
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No1199¢98¢$11−$0.11−$0.53
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes44014¢2¢$8.80−$53$0
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Yes2050¢41.5¢$8.30−$1.70$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2069¢39.5¢$7.90−$5.90$0
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes4615.4¢15.7¢$7.22+$0.12$0
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes3012¢19¢$5.70+$2.10$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1074¢55.5¢$5.46−$1.82$0
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes2915.8¢16¢$4.63+$0.04$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1117¢31.5¢$3.46+$1.59$0
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes1,2170.3¢0.2¢$1.83−$1.82$0
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?Yes202.2¢8¢$1.58+$1.15$0
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia1,30511¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,2018.1¢0¢$0−$97−$2.27
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes51966¢0¢$0−$343$0
Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?Yes5035.2¢0¢$0−$26−$1.25
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No50029¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will Congo DR be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4430.1¢0¢$0−$0.44−$0.01
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes39912.2¢0¢$0−$49+$1.88
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes25057¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No21821.2¢0¢$0−$46−$1.73
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes20844.5¢0¢$0−$92−$2.56
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No20033¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Aarón Caricol lead Serie A in assists during the 2025-26 season?Yes20085¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2008¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?Yes20034¢0¢$0−$68−$2.24
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1848.5¢0¢$0−$16−$0.70
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes17613¢0¢$0−$23−$0.99
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Yes1652¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Yes15034¢0¢$0−$51−$1.68
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15079¢0¢$0−$119$0
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Yes1391.7¢0¢$0−$2.42−$0.10
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes1311.8¢0¢$0−$2.36$0
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes12114.7¢0¢$0−$18−$0.76
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes1121.3¢0¢$0−$1.46−$0.01
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes10619¢0¢$0−$20−$0.82

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?98.9¢7$7.4082%75Sharp
BUY NoWill there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?99¢196$19482%75Sharp
BUY NoWill there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?99¢1$1.3082%75Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?15.8¢29$4.5982%75Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?15.4¢46$7.1082%75Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?66.2¢141$9382%75Sharp
BUY NoWill there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?29.5¢21$6.1982%75Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?66¢20$1382%75Sharp
SELL NoWill there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?34¢50$1782%75Sharp
BUY YesWill a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?95¢96$9182%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?80¢19$1582%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?78¢124$9682%75Sharp
SELL NoWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?22¢153$3482%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?75¢317$23882%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?94.8¢280$26682%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?64¢300$19282%75Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?86¢50$4382%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?34.2¢800$27482%75Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?88.4¢103$9282%75Sharp
BUY NoWill the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?82.5¢85$7082%75Sharp