sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,052

QQQ777

0x7f2…39a8
WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1.29Mvol $6.22M
PnL 30d+$1,906gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,937win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.9%adj 58.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$45.9kcash n/a
Positions58 / 100open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.9%of equity peak
Account age5.8ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1.29Mbelow peak −$22.1kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.9% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 58

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No377k8.9¢9.5¢$35.8k+$2,360$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes78.8k9.9¢9.5¢$7,491−$305$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes30.0k9¢8.5¢$2,550−$146$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes1602¢1.7¢$2.72−$0.48$0
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?Yes1.10M4.2¢0¢$0−$46.0k−$92.7k
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021?Yes841k1.4¢0¢$0−$12.1k−$2,282
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?No643k1.8¢0¢$0−$11.9k$0
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?Yes549k5.4¢0¢$0−$29.4k−$19.9k
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?No542k2.5¢0¢$0−$13.6k−$555
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?No530k12.6¢0¢$0−$66.5k−$22
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes500k0.5¢0¢$0−$2,787$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes499k1.2¢0¢$0−$6,042$0
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes496k4.5¢0¢$0−$22.2k−$30.7k
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?No450k0.5¢0¢$0−$2,488$0
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes442k0.7¢0¢$0−$3,165$0
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2023?Yes370k2.6¢0¢$0−$9,511−$1,484
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2023?Yes334k2.8¢0¢$0−$9,308−$2,344
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?No298k5¢0¢$0−$15.0k−$5,178
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes274k6.5¢0¢$0−$18.0k$0
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023?No247k3¢0¢$0−$7,389−$259
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?Yes247k0¢0¢$0$0−$377k
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?No234k2.8¢0¢$0−$6,512−$662
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021?No231k4.2¢0¢$0−$9,651$0
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?Yes219k5.2¢0¢$0−$11.4k−$6,330
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?No191k1.7¢0¢$0−$3,266$0
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?No142k3.1¢0¢$0−$4,383$0
Will Biden finish his term?No127k10.5¢0¢$0−$13.3k−$17.5k
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes85.0k3.7¢0¢$0−$3,180$0
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?No68.4k4.2¢0¢$0−$2,881$0
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2023?Yes65.8k0.6¢0¢$0−$410$0
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023?Yes34.5k12.6¢0¢$0−$4,346$0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes32.2k1.2¢0¢$0−$372$0
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No32.2k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,393$0
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?No30.6k10.5¢0¢$0−$3,217−$66.1k
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023?Yes30.0k2.5¢0¢$0−$750$0
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022?No29.0k2.3¢0¢$0−$665−$1,541
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023?No27.5k2.1¢0¢$0−$585$0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Trump18.2k78.2¢0¢$0−$14.2k$0
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?Trump18.0k60.3¢0¢$0−$10.8k$0
Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes14.9k4.2¢0¢$0−$622$0
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee? Yes14.3k1.7¢0¢$0−$245$0
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?Republican13.3k36.5¢0¢$0−$4,874$0
Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump12.5k27.3¢0¢$0−$3,425$0
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31?No5,22222.5¢0¢$0−$1,177$0
Trump convicted of felony before Election?No5,00022¢0¢$0−$1,100$0
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes4,96729.9¢0¢$0−$1,486$0
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20?Yes3,9384¢0¢$0−$159$0
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?Yes3,71540.8¢0¢$0−$1,516$0
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House?Yes3,26656.1¢0¢$0−$1,832+$103
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?Republican3,18019.2¢0¢$0−$610$0
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15?Yes2,7007.7¢0¢$0−$209$0
Trump found guilty in hush money case?No2,56919.8¢0¢$0−$509$0
Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?Yes1,7571.1¢0¢$0−$19$0
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?Trump1,39241¢0¢$0−$571$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes30068¢0¢$0−$204$0
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?No29375.8¢0¢$0−$222$0
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?Republican19479.7¢0¢$0−$155$0
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes1716.4¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?2¢46$0.9262%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢13.0k$1,30062%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢60.0k$6,00062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢50.0k$5,00062%25
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢5,600$50462%25
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢20.0k$1,80062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢20.0k$2,00062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢30.0k$3,00062%25
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢4,000$36062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢4,300$43062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢5,600$56062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢100k$9,00062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢5,200$46862%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢5,700$51362%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢3,200$28862%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢1,100$9962%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢3,500$31562%25
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House8¢400$3262%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢30.0k$2,40062%25
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢30.0k$2,40062%25