| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 20 | 94¢ | 96.4¢ | $19 | +$0.46 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026? | No | 6 | 83.7¢ | 89.8¢ | $5.36 | +$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2 | 84.9¢ | 87.9¢ | $2.07 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Up | 5,021 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.72 | −$11 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 2,500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.73 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Down | 2,113 | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,105 | −$37 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Up | 1,930 | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$960 | −$33 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 1,811 | 53.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$968 | −$32 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 1,734 | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$805 | −$29 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Down | 1,253 | 51.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$650 | −$22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Up | 1,096 | 65.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$722 | −$9.37 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Up | 1,067 | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$560 | −$19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Up | 1,060 | 51.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$550 | −$19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | Up | 992 | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$276 | +$3.29 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Down | 918 | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$255 | −$13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Down | 863 | 55.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$477 | +$89 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Up | 841 | 47.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$400 | −$14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 806 | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$440 | −$14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Up | 797 | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | −$14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 763 | 70.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$535 | −$10 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Up | 747 | 48.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$360 | −$13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Up | 746 | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$400 | −$13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 716 | 49.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$355 | −$13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Down | 705 | 60.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$425 | −$7.64 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Down | 651 | 46.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$11 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Down | 634 | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$11 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Down | 589 | 21.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$6.88 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 588 | 26.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$157 | −$7.94 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 584 | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$10 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Up | 559 | 75.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$421 | −$7.06 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Down | 511 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$8.90 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 508 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.49 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Up | 500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Up | 473 | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$240 | −$8.28 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | Up | 471 | 47.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$225 | −$8.22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Down | 447 | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$7.72 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Down | 439 | 52.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$230 | −$7.67 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Down | 427 | 76.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$325 | −$4.98 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Down | 423 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | −$7.39 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Up | 416 | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$205 | −$7.05 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Down | 413 | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$7.22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 398 | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$205 | −$6.93 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 393 | 48.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$190 | −$6.73 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Up | 382 | 44.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170 | −$6.31 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 375 | 53.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$6.53 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Up | 374 | 68.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$255 | −$5.19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 370 | 59.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$221 | +$40 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Down | 363 | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$185 | −$6.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 360 | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | −$5.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 358 | 55.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$6.14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Down | 350 | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$188 | +$17 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 340 | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$210 | −$1.99 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | Down | 310 | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$3.82 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Down | 305 | 73.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$225 | −$4.11 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Down | 303 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$169 | −$4.27 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Up | 299 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$227 | −$3.14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Up | 296 | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$5.17 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 295 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$230 | −$3.33 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Down | 294 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$5.13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Up | 288 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$138 | −$5.02 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Up | 280 | 73.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$205 | −$3.82 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Down | 274 | 74.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$205 | −$3.38 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Up | 264 | 78.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$208 | −$3.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Down | 262 | 87.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$229 | −$1.85 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Down | 255 | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$4.29 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Down | 250 | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | +$13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 240 | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | −$3.16 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 237 | 61.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | −$3.82 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 236 | 52.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$124 | −$3.82 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 234 | 57.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | −$3.98 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Up | 231 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$4.01 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 231 | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | +$9.15 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Up | 225 | 52.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$118 | +$20 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Up | 222 | 56.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$3.81 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Down | 220 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | −$3.73 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Up | 216 | 71.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$155 | −$2.91 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 216 | 47.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | +$15 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 213 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.71 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Up | 208 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$3.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Down | 208 | 68.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$142 | −$3.02 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Down | 205 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$3.41 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 205 | 73.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$2.57 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Up | 203 | 76.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$155 | −$2.42 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Up | 200 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$144 | +$3.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Up | 192 | 52.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Down | 191 | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.33 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Down | 190 | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | −$2.85 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Down | 188 | 58.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | −$2.99 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Down | 187 | 82.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$155 | −$1.86 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Down | 187 | 80.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$1.80 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Up | 182 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.15 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 181 | 68.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$2.70 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Up | 173 | 57.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.96 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Down | 172 | 63.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | −$2.76 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 158 | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$108 | −$2.40 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Down | 157 | 85.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | −$1.32 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 154 | 51.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | −$2.23 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Down | 154 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.45 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Down | 153 | 94.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | −$0.53 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Up | 152 | 85.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | −$1.29 | |