| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,264 | 31.9¢ | 23.5¢ | $767 | −$273 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 344 | 58.2¢ | 85.5¢ | $294 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 988 | 27.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $183 | −$89 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 28¢ | 22.5¢ | $112 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 500 | 22¢ | 10.5¢ | $52 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,005 | 11¢ | 2.6¢ | $51 | −$169 | −$63 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 120 | 16.7¢ | 12.6¢ | $15 | −$4.97 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 36 | 28¢ | 9.5¢ | $3.39 | −$6.61 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 67 | 15¢ | 2.5¢ | $1.67 | −$8.33 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 53 | 19¢ | 2.9¢ | $1.50 | −$8.50 | $0 | |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,778 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | −$2.08 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,287 | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$81 | −$3.04 | |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | Yes | 1,034 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.17 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 991 | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.60 | |
| Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31? | Yes | 985 | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$76 | −$1.40 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 800 | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | −$0.55 | |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 600 | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | +$235 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Up | 500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.35 | |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 456 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Up | 357 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$4.15 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 304 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | −$0.52 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Down | 268 | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$1.30 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | Yes | 200 | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$1.28 | |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | Yes | 200 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.28 | |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 179 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.28 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 167 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.96 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 163 | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.95 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 153 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.06 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 151 | 33.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.94 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 140 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | +$0.15 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 123 | 40.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$2.04 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 119 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.38 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | No | 106 | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | Yes | 94 | 21.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.63 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Down | 88 | 56.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.50 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | Yes | 77 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.59 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Down | 72 | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.20 | |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | Yes | 71 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.26 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 65 | 38.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Up | 63 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.05 | |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 56 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.33 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Down | 55 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.93 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Up | 55 | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.95 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 54 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.92 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Up | 44 | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.76 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Down | 40 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | Yes | 38 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 38 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.66 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Down | 38 | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.48 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | No | 32 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 32 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.21 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Down | 31 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.54 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 30 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.53 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Up | 30 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Down | 30 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.20 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 30 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.90 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Down | 30 | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Up | 27 | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.46 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Up | 26 | 57.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.44 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 25 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Down | 24 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.39 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Up | 23 | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.89 | $0 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29? | Yes | 21 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.25 | +$6.36 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Up | 21 | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | −$0.34 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 20 | 29.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.90 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Down | 20 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.20 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 20 | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.70 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 20 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | −$0.32 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Up | 20 | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.10 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 20 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Down | 20 | 18.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.70 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Up | 20 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 20 | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.90 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 20 | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.30 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Up | 20 | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | 20 | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.80 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Down | 20 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.16 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Down | 20 | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Down | 20 | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.60 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Down | 20 | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Down | 20 | 29.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.90 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Up | 20 | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.80 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Down | 20 | 36.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.30 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Up | 20 | 20.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.10 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 20 | 20.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.15 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Down | 20 | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 20 | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 20 | 24.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Up | 20 | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Down | 20 | 27.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 20 | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 20 | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.30 | $0 | |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28? | Yes | 19 | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.25 | +$9.45 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 18 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Down | 18 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$0.22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Down | 16 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.27 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 15 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Up | 15 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$0.20 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Down | 14 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | −$0.20 | |