PnL all-time+$1,784vol $124k
PnL 30d+$703gains $17 · losses $25
PnL 7d+$59win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.2%adj 80.5% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$41.0kcash n/a
Positions5 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.8%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,088below peak −$94Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 91.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d46
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Noopen+$1,864Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$514Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed+$205Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noclosed+$165Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed+$154
Worst markets
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesopen−$461Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed−$176Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed−$111Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? · Noclosed−$45Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$25
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 40.9k | 92.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $39.7k | +$1,864 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | Yes | 1,428 | 81.5¢ | 88¢ | $1,257 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 500 | 92.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$461 | $0 | |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 100 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | Yes | 18 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.08 | $0 |
Recent trades
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