PnL all-time+$1,902vol $399k
PnL 30d−$289gains $46 · losses $212
PnL 7d+$431win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.5%adj 64.3% · 30d 42.9%
Open value$5,328cash n/a
Positions5 / 240open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.3%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,513below peak −$435Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 65.5% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d28
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$926Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$524Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$512Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$474Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Noopen−$460
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 7,240 | 66.6¢ | 60.1¢ | $4,348 | −$477 | +$17 | |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1,879 | 37.3¢ | 32.4¢ | $608 | −$93 | −$0.11 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 846 | 19¢ | 21.5¢ | $182 | +$21 | +$70 | |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 244 | 55.2¢ | 41.7¢ | $102 | −$33 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100 | 86.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $89 | +$1.74 | +$67 |
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