PnL all-time−$687vol $5,645
PnL 30d+$77gains $35 · losses $36
PnL 7d+$77win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 53.3% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$305cash n/a
Positions11 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$181Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$37Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? · Noclosed+$35
Worst markets
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yesclosed−$240Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yesopen−$143Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yesopen−$124Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yesopen−$122Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? · Noopen−$91
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 316 | 79.6¢ | 96.3¢ | $305 | +$53 | $0 |
Recent trades
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