sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,136

Snoorrason

0x805…0635@SnoorrasonPoly
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$176kvol $13.9M
PnL 30d−$15.0kgains $16.7k · losses $3,260
PnL 7d+$1,137win rate 7d 79.2%
Win rate54.9%adj 54.7% · 30d 51.9%
Open value$98.9kcash n/a
Positions232 / 4,821open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.9%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$200kbelow peak −$15.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 54.9% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes40.3k50¢64.5¢$26.0k+$5,848$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No40.3k50¢35.5¢$14.3k−$5,848+$14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No13.4k91.9¢90.5¢$12.1k−$185$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No17.6k63¢67¢$11.8k+$711$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes11.7k46.7¢43.6¢$5,119−$367$0
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes8,91413.3¢25¢$2,229+$1,047$0
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?No1,28743¢49.5¢$637+$84$0
Will Víkingur Gøta be runner-up in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?Yes1,0603.8¢50¢$530+$489$0
Will Viking be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢48.5¢$528+$494$0
Will RFS be runner-up in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?Yes1,0513.8¢50¢$526+$485$0
Will FK Auda be runner-up in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?Yes1,0513.8¢50¢$526+$485$0
Will NSÍ Runavík be runner-up in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?Yes1,0603.8¢49.5¢$525+$484$0
Will KÍ Klaksvík be runner-up in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?Yes1,0603.8¢49.5¢$525+$484$0
Will HB be runner-up in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?Yes1,0603.8¢49.5¢$525+$484$0
Will Bodø/Glimt be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢48¢$523+$488$0
Will Molde be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢48¢$523+$488$0
Will Rosenborg be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢48¢$523+$488$0
Will Riga FC be runner-up in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?Yes1,0513.8¢49.5¢$520+$480$0
Will Tromsø be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢47.5¢$517+$483$0
Will B36 Tórshavn be runner-up in the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?Yes1,0603.8¢48.5¢$514+$473$0
Will Lillestrøm be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢47¢$512+$478$0
Will Inter Turku be runner-up in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes9213.6¢50¢$460+$427$0
Will IF Gnistan be runner-up in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes9213.6¢49.5¢$456+$423$0
Will AC Oulu be runner-up in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes9213.6¢49.5¢$456+$423$0
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Yes89745.5¢50.5¢$453+$45$0
Will VPS be runner-up in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes9213.6¢49¢$451+$418$0
Will HJK Helsinki be runner-up in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes9213.6¢49¢$451+$418$0
Will Västerås SK be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢49.6¢$449+$421$0
Will Malmö FF be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢49.5¢$448+$420$0
Will AIK be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢49.5¢$448+$420$0
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?No89511.8¢50.1¢$448+$342$0
Will KuPS be runner-up in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)?Yes9213.6¢48¢$442+$409$0
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Yes7,9784.6¢5.5¢$439+$72$0
Will BK Häcken be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢47.5¢$430+$402$0
Will IF Elfsborg be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢47.5¢$430+$402$0
Will IK Sirius be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢47¢$425+$397$0
Will Hammarby IF be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢47¢$425+$397$0
Will Djurgårdens IF be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢47¢$425+$397$0
Will GAIS be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢46.6¢$422+$394$0
Will IFK Göteborg be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢46.6¢$421+$393$0
Will Brann be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢38¢$414+$380$0
Will IF Brommapojkarna be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes9053.1¢45.4¢$411+$383$0
Will Fredrikstad be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes1,0893.1¢37¢$403+$369$0
Will Mjällby AIF be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?Yes7443.1¢44.9¢$334+$311−$4.26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No52059¢63.5¢$330+$23$0
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Yes68136¢43.5¢$296+$51$0
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?No52041.6¢54.5¢$284+$67$0
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes91025¢26.5¢$241+$14+$9.47
Will FCI Levadia win the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?Yes26315.8¢89¢$234+$193$0
Will Santa Cruz be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Brusque be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Floresta be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Paysandu be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Inter de Limeira be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Botafogo-PB be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Maringá be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Will Ferroviária be runner-up in the 2026 Brasileirão Série C?Yes6152.8¢38¢$234+$217$0
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?Yes1,29218.4¢17.5¢$226−$11$0
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes1,70323.8¢12.5¢$213−$192+$0.05
Will Sarpsborg 08 be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?Yes6863.1¢30.9¢$212+$190−$11
Will Sandefjord be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?No21299.8¢99.5¢$211−$0.61−$70
Will Harju JK Laagri finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?No22799¢91.6¢$208−$17$0
Will FCI Levadia finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?No22799¢89.3¢$203−$22$0
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?No51438.2¢39¢$201+$4.09$0
Will Kongsvinger be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢47.5¢$169+$158$0
Will Stabæk be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢47.5¢$169+$158$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No35038.8¢45.6¢$160+$24$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No20068.6¢71.5¢$143+$5.80$0
Will Haugesund be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢38¢$135+$124$0
Will Odd be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢38¢$135+$124$0
Will Strømsgodset be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢38¢$135+$124$0
Will Bryne be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢38¢$135+$124$0
Will Hødd be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢38¢$135+$124$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No13890¢95.5¢$132+$7.60−$20
Will Egersund be runner-up in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?Yes3563.1¢36¢$128+$117$0
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes64916.5¢17.5¢$113+$6.21$0
Will Pärnu JK Vaprus finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?No17799¢63.7¢$113−$62$0
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes16538.5¢63.5¢$105+$41$0
Will FCI Levadia be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?No18499¢53.4¢$98−$84$0
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?No13057.4¢60.5¢$79+$4.05$0
Will Yongin FC be runner-up in the 2026 K League 2?No12498.1¢62.6¢$78−$44$0
Will Paju Frontier be runner-up in the 2026 K League 2?No11998.1¢63.1¢$75−$42$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No15737¢44.5¢$70+$12$0
Will St Patrick's Athletic win the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?Yes1383.8¢50¢$69+$64$0
Will Bohemians win the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?Yes1383.8¢50¢$69+$64$0
Will Shamrock Rovers win the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?Yes1383.8¢49.5¢$68+$63$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18535¢34.5¢$64−$0.92$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No15638.7¢36.5¢$57−$3.43$0
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Yes32117¢17.5¢$56+$1.60$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?No5496¢92.3¢$49−$1.98−$34
Will FC Astana be runner-up in the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes993.1¢50¢$49+$46$0
Will FC Kairat be runner-up in the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes993.1¢50¢$49+$46$0
Will FC Ordabasy be runner-up in the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes993.1¢49.5¢$49+$46$0
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?Yes2221¢21.9¢$48+$46$0
Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes7053.6¢66.5¢$47+$9.05$0
Will ÍA Akranes finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?No6599¢65.8¢$43−$22$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18530¢22.5¢$42−$14$0
Will Breiðablik finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?No6599¢62.6¢$40−$24$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?No4190¢96.8¢$40+$2.77−$8.00
Will Harju JK Laagri be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?No7198.9¢55.5¢$39−$31$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesRepublican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?45¢248$11155%70
BUY YesRepublican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?18.4¢1,381$25455%70
BUY NoWill Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?38.7¢413$16055%70
BUY YesWill Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?41¢35$1455%70
BUY NoWill Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?36¢51$1855%70
BUY YesDemocratic Senate odds <58% on October 9?0.6¢117$0.7055%70
BUY YesDemocratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 9?0.6¢88$0.5355%70
BUY YesDemocratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?2¢32$0.6455%70
BUY YesDemocratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?1.1¢63$0.6955%70
BUY NoWill Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?57.4¢130$7555%70
BUY YesWill Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?47¢50$2455%70
BUY YesWill Igor Šimko win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?0.9¢62$0.5755%70
BUY NoWill Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?36¢50$1855%70
BUY YesWill Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?37.6¢80$3055%70
BUY YesWill Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?53.6¢70$3855%70
BUY NoWill Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?16.1¢200$3255%70
BUY YesNo one announced as next James Bond?19.1¢50$9.5555%70
BUY YesNext James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?76¢40$3055%70
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?45.4¢5$2.2755%70
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?45.4¢5$2.2755%70