PnL all-time−$212vol $1.21M
PnL 30d+$7,351gains $7,366 · losses $3,259
PnL 7d+$1,913win rate 7d 62.5%
Win rate55.6%adj 55.3% · 30d 62.7%
Open value$653cash n/a
Positions5 / 415open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 11m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,821below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? · Noclosed+$535Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$514Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yesclosed+$504Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$470Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yesclosed+$442
Worst markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$4,720Trump wins every swing state? · Noclosed−$1,262Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Downclosed−$631Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$560Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · Yesclosed−$378
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 702 | 48¢ | 52.5¢ | $369 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 300 | 76.3¢ | 81.7¢ | $245 | +$16 | +$34 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 6¢ | 10.5¢ | $31 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 39 | 7.6¢ | 6.4¢ | $2.48 | −$0.49 | +$31 |
Recent trades
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