sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,864

KimJonEn

0x815…bfda
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherCultureCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$52.7kvol $6.05M
PnL 30d−$516gains $3,095 · losses $1,174
PnL 7d+$2,224win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate69.1%adj 68.4% · 30d 78.6%
Open value$45.5kcash n/a
Positions29 / 1,429open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.1%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$54.3kbelow peak −$17.0kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 69.1% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$8,383US recession in 2025? · Noclosed+$7,567No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$6,697Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$5,888Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$5,280

Worst markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$15.3kWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$13.1kWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,546Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Yesclosed−$3,534US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Noclosed−$2,950

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes24.7k60.7¢84.5¢$20.9k+$5,888$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No6,60951.3¢70.5¢$4,659+$1,268$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes19.8k29.4¢22.5¢$4,451−$1,363−$280
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,00062.3¢63.5¢$1,905+$35$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No2,01243.8¢79¢$1,589+$708$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,11361.5¢72.5¢$1,532+$233+$196
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No1,50081.7¢95¢$1,425+$200$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,00065¢63.5¢$1,270−$30$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No1,30060.3¢92.1¢$1,197+$413$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo3,00054.2¢37.5¢$1,125−$501$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No1,00093¢100¢$1,000+$70$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes1,18972.5¢78¢$927+$66$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,00080¢88.5¢$885+$85$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,05210.4¢8.1¢$487−$145$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00041¢43¢$430+$20$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes1,64632.8¢23¢$379−$162$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes1,92665.3¢16.5¢$318−$939$0
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No23061.4¢88.5¢$204+$62$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No20081¢89.5¢$179+$17$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,50017.9¢11.5¢$172−$96$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes71445.8¢22.5¢$161−$166$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes56060.5¢18¢$101−$238−$1,060
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,01658.7¢8.1¢$82−$515$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes11450¢68¢$77+$20$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3,95021¢0.8¢$30−$799−$104
Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes1,12527.2¢2.5¢$28−$279$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes85646.4¢1.8¢$15−$381$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes20.0k47.5¢0¢$0−$9,492−$5,780
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No7963.9¢0¢$0−$31$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?65¢2,000$1,30069%68
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?17¢200$3469%68
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?75¢189$14169%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?24¢2,000$48069%68
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?72¢1,000$72069%68
SELL YesWill Trump and Putin not meet?17¢970$16569%68
SELL YesWill Trump and Putin not meet?18¢232$4269%68
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?63¢1,000$63069%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?30¢2,000$60069%68
BUY NoWill 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?61.8¢300$18569%68
BUY NoWill 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?61.7¢500$30969%68
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?62¢2,000$1,24069%68
SELL YesAnthropic IPO before 2027?76.2¢1,000$76269%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?28¢3,000$84069%68
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?67¢500$33569%68
BUY NoTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?3.9¢796$3169%68
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?69¢61$4269%68
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?70¢17$1269%68
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?70¢738$51669%68
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?65¢2,000$1,30069%68