PnL all-time−$674vol $34.9k
PnL 30d−$538gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$538win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$17.7kcash n/a
Positions11 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.5%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,073below peak −$414Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yesopen−$418Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yesopen−$256Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yesopen−$150Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$134Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$75
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6,344 | 70.9¢ | 70¢ | $4,441 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4,054 | 74¢ | 73.5¢ | $2,980 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,969 | 63¢ | 61.5¢ | $2,441 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,448 | 58¢ | 59.5¢ | $2,052 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,223 | 38.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $1,959 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,985 | 67¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,866 | −$134 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 45¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,275 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,794 | 27.9¢ | 19.5¢ | $350 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,207 | 29¢ | 27.5¢ | $332 | −$18 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 68.9¢ | 2,177 | $1,500 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | 29¢ | 1,207 | $350 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 27.9¢ | 1,794 | $500 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | 58¢ | 3,448 | $2,000 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | 38.3¢ | 5,223 | $2,000 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 74¢ | 4,054 | $3,000 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | 63¢ | 3,969 | $2,500 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 72¢ | 4,167 | $3,000 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | 45¢ | 3,000 | $1,350 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 67¢ | 2,985 | $2,000 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | 22¢ | 1,856 | $408 | 0% | 16 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | 24¢ | 1,042 | $250 | 0% | 16 |