sharpside
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0x819…ab69
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,314vol $443k
PnL 30d+$3,488gains $3,961 · losses $1,600
PnL 7d+$1,614win rate 7d 55.6%
Win rate55.6%adj 55.3% · 30d 64.3%
Open value$5,579cash n/a
Positions29 / 556open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.9%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,989below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No3,22239.1¢72.5¢$2,336+$1,076$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes1,36596.7¢90.2¢$1,231−$89$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No54483.5¢98.1¢$534+$79$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes37966¢62.5¢$237−$13$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No22147¢91.5¢$202+$98$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes27872¢70.5¢$196−$4.17$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No16655.1¢97.5¢$162+$70$0
Haiti elections delayed again?Yes17682.6¢90.5¢$159+$14$0
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?Yes14289¢95¢$135+$8.52$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes13773¢90.5¢$124+$24$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes25234¢33.5¢$84−$1.21$0
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?No18336.7¢42¢$77+$9.70$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Yes17315¢26¢$45+$19$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes3859¢9.5¢$37+$1.93$0
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Yes1497¢14¢$21+$10$0
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?Yes1,1819.7¢0¢$0−$115−$4.10
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?No1,0911¢0¢$0−$11+$2.45
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No90922¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes8330.6¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?No62515.8¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No6142.1¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No4869¢0¢$0−$44−$1.58
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No2131¢0¢$0−$2.13$0
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No2044.6¢0¢$0−$9.35−$0.45
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?No1537¢0¢$0−$11−$0.40
Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No6718¢0¢$0−$12−$0.49
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No403.6¢0¢$0−$1.44$0
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?No3920¢0¢$0−$7.80−$0.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes2170.9¢0¢$0−$15−$0.22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoKimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?37¢128$4756%63
BUY NoKimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?36¢55$2056%63
SELL YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?24¢789$18956%63
SELL NoUS strike on Colombia by December 31?76¢168$12856%63
SELL YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?99.9¢794$79356%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?89¢36$3256%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?88.5¢63$5656%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?89¢10$8.9056%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?88.9¢374$33356%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?85¢130$11156%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?84¢150$12656%63
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?83¢11$8.9756%63
BUY YesWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?89¢142$12656%63
SELL YesTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?0.2¢1,619$3.2456%63
BUY YesTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?2.2¢905$2056%63
BUY YesTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?1.6¢714$1156%63
BUY NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?33.5¢1,133$38056%63
BUY NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?32¢185$5956%63
BUY NoUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?32¢818$26156%63
BUY YesAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?88.8¢166$14756%63