sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,921

JokerTheClown

0x819…07f1
SharpWhalePnL 10k+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$47.3kvol $505k
PnL 30d+$53.2kgains $70.1k · losses $5,174
PnL 7d+$23.2kwin rate 7d 45.3%
Win rate58.2%adj 57.9% · 30d 58.2%
Open value$43.6kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 8,155open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.0%of equity peak
Account age39dlast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$53.3kbelow peak −$2,067Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 58.2% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes20.8k64.9¢69.8¢$14.5k+$1,002$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10,00064¢85.7¢$8,565+$2,165$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes8,98787.7¢72.5¢$6,515−$1,365$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No5,65260.9¢87.5¢$4,946+$1,505$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes10.3k38.2¢43¢$4,428+$498$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No1,32776.4¢81.5¢$1,081+$67+$3.20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?No1,10160¢90.5¢$996+$336$0
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No85988¢73¢$627−$129$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No2,26617.4¢23¢$521+$126+$2.14
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?No29998¢98¢$293$0$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?No26795.9¢99.5¢$265+$9.49$0
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?No19996¢99¢$197+$5.96$0
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No11095¢98.5¢$108+$3.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?No10061¢65¢$65+$4.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 9?No8879¢67.5¢$59−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?No7569¢66.5¢$50−$1.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 9?Yes12450.9¢35.5¢$44−$19$0
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes4972.8¢74.1¢$36+$0.59$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9?Yes10040¢33.5¢$34−$6.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?Yes8236¢35¢$29−$0.82$0
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?No2384¢93.5¢$22+$2.19$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?No5052.8¢42.5¢$21−$5.16$0
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on October 31?No2195¢97.4¢$20+$0.49$0
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes11368.7¢17.3¢$20−$58$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 9?Yes6925.7¢22¢$15−$2.56$0
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?No1593¢99¢$15+$0.90$0
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?No1581¢88.5¢$13+$1.13$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No1391.3¢92¢$12+$0.09+$1.53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?Yes10010.1¢9.8¢$9.75−$0.35$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 9?Yes5026¢18.5¢$9.25−$3.75$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 9?No1054¢57¢$5.72+$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 9?Yes459¢7¢$3.17−$0.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9?Yes817¢16¢$1.22−$0.08$0
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres10.0k38¢0¢$0−$3,804−$15
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsNongshim RedForce7,00047¢0¢$0−$3,290−$62
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 41.5Under6,12251¢0¢$0−$3,122−$46
Sharks vs. StarsSharks3,10036¢0¢$0−$1,116−$36
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under3,00045¢0¢$0−$1,350−$37
Flyers vs. LightningFlyers3,00034¢0¢$0−$1,020−$34
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No1,39030.7¢0¢$0−$427−$12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding MatchesTeam Yandex1,13864.8¢0¢$0−$737−$13
Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?No60749.4¢0¢$0−$299−$6.07
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Yes15149.6¢0¢$0−$75−$1.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp11434.7¢0¢$0−$39−$1.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown10534.1¢0¢$0−$36−$1.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown8747.7¢0¢$0−$41−$1.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown8527.4¢0¢$0−$23−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETDown8547¢0¢$0−$40−$1.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp8348.2¢0¢$0−$40−$1.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown8025¢0¢$0−$20−$1.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown7926.7¢0¢$0−$21−$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown7851¢0¢$0−$40−$1.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp7726¢0¢$0−$20−$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp7526.8¢0¢$0−$20−$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown6957.6¢0¢$0−$40−$1.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown6931.2¢0¢$0−$22−$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp6530.7¢0¢$0−$20−$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown6562¢0¢$0−$40−$1.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown6431¢0¢$0−$20−$0.97
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes5956.2¢0¢$0−$33−$0.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown5836.2¢0¢$0−$21−$0.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown5735¢0¢$0−$20−$0.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown4844.3¢0¢$0−$21−$0.76
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown4632.8¢0¢$0−$15−$0.46
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp4522¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.55
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp4430.6¢0¢$0−$14−$0.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp4249.8¢0¢$0−$21−$0.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp4248¢0¢$0−$20−$0.73
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown4034¢0¢$0−$14−$0.49
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp4025¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.52
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp3925.4¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown3754¢0¢$0−$20−$0.64
Solana Up or Down - September 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown3727¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp3630.9¢0¢$0−$11−$0.31
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp3628¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown3556.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown3459¢0¢$0−$20−$0.57
Solana Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown3330¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.49
Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETUp3230.8¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown3262¢0¢$0−$20−$0.53
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp3132.1¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.47
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp3126.6¢0¢$0−$8.25−$0.42
Solana Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown3026¢0¢$0−$7.80−$0.40
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp2826.9¢0¢$0−$7.60−$0.39
Solana Up or Down - September 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown2850.4¢0¢$0−$14−$0.31
Solana Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp2836¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.45
Solana Up or Down - September 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp2726.8¢0¢$0−$7.34−$0.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp2644.7¢0¢$0−$12−$0.19
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown2637¢0¢$0−$9.62−$0.42
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown2549.2¢0¢$0−$12−$0.44
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETDown2549.6¢0¢$0−$12−$0.44
Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp2581.5¢0¢$0−$20−$0.27
Solana Up or Down - September 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp2539.8¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.42
Solana Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown2572.8¢0¢$0−$18−$0.35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp2569.8¢0¢$0−$17−$0.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp2576¢0¢$0−$19−$0.32
Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown2541¢0¢$0−$10−$0.42
Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp2519¢0¢$0−$4.75−$0.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown2510¢0¢$0−$2.50−$0.16
Solana Up or Down - August 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp2547¢0¢$0−$12−$0.44

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?94¢113$10658%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?84¢13$1158%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?84¢10$8.4058%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?18¢6$1.0858%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?18¢1,544$27858%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16¢250$4058%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16¢250$4058%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?17¢15$2.4758%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16.7¢150$2558%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16.3¢35$5.7058%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16¢8$1.2258%75Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?16¢9$1.3958%75Sharp
SELL YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?31¢90$2858%75Sharp
BUY YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?32¢90$2958%75Sharp
SELL NoHouthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?85¢90$7758%75Sharp
BUY NoHouthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?86¢90$7758%75Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢90$8158%75Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢90$8058%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?13¢90$1258%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?14¢90$1358%75Sharp