sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #8,667

Stolto

0x81d…9b9a
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$27vol $15.9k
PnL 30d−$382gains $45 · losses $9.18
PnL 7d+$315win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate83.5%adj 77.1% · 30d 97.1%
Open value$9,238cash n/a
Positions213 / 298open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age43dlast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$868below peak −$1,055Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale20
Adjusted win rateraw 83.5% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flamengo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No51997.9¢98.9¢$513+$4.90$0
Will Athletico Paranaense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No36194¢97.2¢$351+$11$0
Will Fluminense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No34293.2¢98.5¢$336+$18$0
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No34092.1¢96.2¢$327+$14$0
Will Lille be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?No21094.7¢96.5¢$203+$3.78+$0.61
Will Carlos Alcaraz be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsNo20199.6¢100¢$201+$0.80$0
Will Västerås SK be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No16695.2¢97.7¢$162+$4.15$0
Will FC Seoul be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No16298.8¢96.9¢$157−$3.01$0
Will IF Elfsborg be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No14797.7¢97.9¢$144+$0.35$0
Will Lorenzo Musetti Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No13398.7¢99.4¢$133+$1.00$0
Will Ulsan HD be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No12297.1¢98.8¢$121+$2.02$0
Will Ben Shelton Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes12097¢98.4¢$118+$1.68$0
Will Real Madrid be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?No12098.9¢98.1¢$118−$1.06$0
Will Dundalk be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?No12196.5¢94.7¢$115−$2.23$0
Will Monza qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No10996.8¢95.5¢$104−$1.51$0
Will Sabah reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No10297.3¢99.8¢$102+$2.49$0
Will Alexander Bublik Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No10198.4¢99.5¢$100+$1.06$0
Will IK Sirius be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No10099.7¢99.8¢$100+$0.05$0
Will Bodø/Glimt be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?No10099.6¢99.6¢$100$0$0
Will Le Mans finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No10094.7¢97.2¢$97+$2.49$0
Will Porto be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?No10096¢97.4¢$97+$1.40$0
Anthropic acquired before 2027?No10097¢97.2¢$97+$0.15$0
Will Rosenborg be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?No10094.2¢97.1¢$97+$2.86$0
Will Palmeiras be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No9098.9¢98¢$88−$0.81$0
Will Bahia be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No9097¢97¢$87−$0.04$0
Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No8897.4¢98.4¢$87+$0.91$0
Will Mariano Navone Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No8798.4¢99.1¢$86+$0.59$0
Will Joao Fonseca Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No8398.4¢99.4¢$83+$0.81$0
Will Slovan Bratislava reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No8297.4¢96.4¢$79−$0.86$0
Will Cruzeiro be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No8097¢97.5¢$78+$0.40$0
Will Troyes finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No8095¢96.9¢$78+$1.52$0
Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No9292.1¢83.3¢$77−$8.12$0
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No7798.4¢99.6¢$76+$0.87$0
Will Mjällby AIF finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No11999¢55.5¢$66−$52$0
Will Monaco be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?No6595¢99.5¢$65+$2.92+$1.96
Will Ugo Humbert Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No6398.6¢99.7¢$63+$0.70+$0.09
AI bubble burst in 2026?No6589.3¢93.9¢$61+$2.96$0
Will Rangers be relegated from the 2026-27 Scottish Premiership?No6196¢96.5¢$59+$0.30$0
Will Brann be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?No9698.9¢60.5¢$58−$37$0
Will Real Madrid finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢99.8¢$58+$0.46$0
Will Lyon be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?No6095.3¢96.4¢$58+$0.64$0
Will Nice qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No6090.7¢95.8¢$57+$3.05$0
Will Liverpool finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.17$0
Will Manchester United finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.17$0
Will Aston Villa finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.17$0
Will Borussia Dortmund finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.20$0
Will Sporting CP finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.20$0
Will Bayern Munich finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.20$0
Will Manchester City finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.20$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.20$0
Will Barcelona finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢98.7¢$57−$0.20$0
Will Fredrikstad be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?No9698.9¢59.5¢$57−$38$0
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No5798.3¢99.2¢$57+$0.48$0
Will Como finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢96.7¢$56−$1.33$0
Will Arsenal finish last in UCL league phase?No5899¢96.5¢$56−$1.45$0
Will Vasco da Gama finish 3rd in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No10099¢55.5¢$56−$44$0
Will Mirassol finish 3rd in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No10099¢55.5¢$56−$44$0
Will Raufoss be promoted to Norway Eliteserien?No10599¢52.5¢$55−$49$0
Will Venezia qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No5697¢97.4¢$55+$0.23$0
Will Sogndal be promoted to Norway Eliteserien?No10599¢52¢$55−$49$0
Will Åsane be promoted to Norway Eliteserien?No10599¢51.6¢$54−$50$0
Will Toulouse qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No5597¢95.3¢$52−$0.93$0
Will Valencia qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No5497.3¢96¢$52−$0.74$0
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No6088¢83¢$50−$3.00$0
Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No6074¢81.5¢$49+$4.50$0
Will Shelbourne be relegated from the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?No5090¢97.8¢$49+$3.88$0
Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?No4999¢99.1¢$49+$0.05$0
Will Malmö FF be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No4997.5¢97.5¢$48$0$0
Will Sassuolo qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No4797¢98.1¢$46+$0.52+$0.17
Will Troyes qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No4695¢96¢$44+$0.44+$0.75
Will LASK reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?No4498¢98.9¢$44+$0.37$0
Will Sabah reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?No4498¢98.5¢$43+$0.20$0
Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?No4498¢96.2¢$42−$0.79$0
Will Ferrocarril Midland be runner-up in the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?No6399¢64¢$40−$22$0
Will Gangwon FC be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No4190¢97.6¢$40+$3.10$0
Will Jeju SK be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No4193.8¢97.4¢$40+$1.47$0
Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No4196¢97¢$40+$0.38$0
Will IF Brommapojkarna finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No6999¢56¢$39−$30$0
Will GAIS finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No6999¢56¢$39−$30$0
Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?No3895.6¢99.4¢$38+$1.43$0
Will AIK win the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No5099.6¢75.9¢$38−$12$0
Will Deportivo La Coruña qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No4193.5¢92.1¢$38−$0.60$0
Will Lyn finish 3rd in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?No6398.2¢59.5¢$37−$24$0
Will Jakub Mensik Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No4090¢92.5¢$37+$1.00$0
Will Toulouse finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No4094¢92¢$37−$0.80$0
Will Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) be runner-up in the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?No5798.9¢64¢$36−$20$0
Will AEK Athens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?No3698¢97.4¢$36−$0.24$0
Will Red Bull Bragantino be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No6299¢55.5¢$34−$27$0
Will IFK Göteborg be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No6299¢55.7¢$34−$27$0
Will IF Brommapojkarna be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No6199¢55.7¢$34−$26$0
Will PEC Zwolle qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No3798¢92.5¢$34−$2.02$0
Will Slovan Bratislava reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?No3498¢98.8¢$34+$0.27$0
Will GAIS be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?No6299¢53.8¢$33−$28$0
Will Santos be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No6299¢53.5¢$33−$28$0
Will Coritiba be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No6299¢53.5¢$33−$28$0
Will Defensores de Belgrano be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No6099¢52.5¢$32−$28$0
Will Egersund finish 3rd in the 2026 OBOS-ligaen (Norway)?No5698¢55.5¢$31−$24$0
Will Botafogo finish 3rd in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No5099¢62¢$31−$19$0
Will Athletico Paranaense finish 16th in the 2026 Brazil Série A?No5599¢56¢$31−$24$0
Will Shanghai Shenhua be runner-up in the 2026 Chinese Super League?No5798¢52.9¢$30−$26$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Defensores de Belgrano be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)?99¢60$5984%48
BUY NoWill Deportivo Madryn win the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?98¢7$6.4084%48
BUY NoWill Colón win the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?98¢41$4084%48
BUY NoWill Ferrocarril Midland win the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?98¢50$4984%48
BUY NoWill Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) win the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?98¢7$6.4084%48
BUY NoWill Ferrocarril Midland be runner-up in the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?99¢63$6284%48
BUY NoWill Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) be runner-up in the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?98.9¢57$5684%48
BUY NoWill Malmö FF be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?99¢8$7.9284%48
BUY NoWill AIK finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?98¢7$6.4084%48
SELL NoWill Ugo Humbert Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?99.6¢10$9.9684%48
BUY NoWill Learner Tien Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?99¢20$2084%48
BUY NoWill Jiri Lehecka Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?97.3¢5$4.8784%48
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?99.4¢5$5.0784%48
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?99.3¢5$5.0684%48
BUY NoWill Troyes finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?95¢80$7684%48
BUY NoWill Toulouse finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?94¢40$3884%48
BUY NoWill Le Havre finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?95¢20$1984%48
BUY NoWill Sassuolo finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?95.4¢28$2784%48
BUY NoWill Monza qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?95.4¢60$5784%48
BUY NoWill Mjällby AIF finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?99¢119$11884%48