PnL all-time−$155vol $1.02M
PnL 30d+$4.46gains $2.24 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2.06win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.3%adj 62.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,206cash n/a
Positions4 / 83open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.5%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$154below peak −$198Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.3% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$276Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesopen−$174Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yesclosed−$33Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Upopen−$29Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? · Noclosed−$20
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | No | 1,211 | 99¢ | 99.2¢ | $1,201 | +$2.06 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9,919 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $4.96 | −$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4,475 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$174 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 48 | 59.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | $0 |
Recent trades
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