PnL all-time−$65vol $28.8k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.9%adj 51.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,060cash n/a
Positions6 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.9%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$65below peak −$74Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.9% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4? · Noclosed+$16Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? · Noclosed+$8.78Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026? · Noclosed+$2.75Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Noclosed+$1.38Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? · Noclosed+$1.08
Worst markets
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? · Noopen−$66No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · Noopen−$12Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of November? · Yesopen−$3.90Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 15? · Noclosed−$3.38Will Dow Jones (DJI) close over 42,000 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14? · Yesclosed−$2.14
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 650 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $650 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | No | 410 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $410 | +$0.82 | $0 |
Recent trades
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