PnL all-time−$3,563vol $41.4k
PnL 30d+$499gains $0 · losses $532
PnL 7d+$30win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate11.1%adj 37.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$7,087cash n/a
Positions8 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,897below peak −$2,237Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
11/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 11.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,196GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$597Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$532Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$365GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$306
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 2,499 | 58.5¢ | 93¢ | $2,324 | +$862 | $0 | |
| Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | No | 2,106 | 43.7¢ | 71¢ | $1,495 | +$574 | $0 | |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 952 | 77.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $934 | +$198 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 1,163 | 66.4¢ | 64.5¢ | $750 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 800 | 77¢ | 78.5¢ | $628 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 848 | 72.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $598 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | 287 | 77¢ | 81¢ | $232 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 205 | 37.8¢ | 61.5¢ | $126 | +$48 | −$126 |
Recent trades
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