sharpside
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Pityok1

0x82f…9f82
Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,163vol $1.65M
PnL 30d+$2,576gains $6,389 · losses $4,494
PnL 7d+$270win rate 7d 25.7%
Win rate26.6%adj 27.5% · 30d 26.6%
Open value$1,958cash n/a
Positions20 / 3,626open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.3%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,239below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 26.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nolo peak at Category 4?Yes50391.9¢97.3¢$489+$27−$18
Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes40067.9¢97.8¢$391+$120$0
Will Simon peak at Category 4?Yes35053.1¢96.9¢$339+$153+$2.92
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?No29795¢99.8¢$296+$14+$20
Will Isaias peak at Category 1 or weaker?No26598.5¢99.4¢$263+$2.22+$1.91
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?No5058.6¢100¢$50+$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?No5079.2¢82.5¢$41+$1.65$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?No5057¢69¢$35+$6.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 12?Yes2006¢13¢$26+$14$0
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?No3275¢66.5¢$21−$2.72$0
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes1005.2¢5.5¢$5.45+$0.25$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 11?Yes2031.7¢0.1¢$0.10−$3.34+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?Yes2004¢0.1¢$0.10−$8.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?Yes16019.8¢0.1¢$0.08−$32−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?No13826.4¢0.1¢$0.07−$36$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11?Yes1003¢0.1¢$0.05−$2.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 11?Yes604.9¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.88+$2.53
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?Yes5020¢0.1¢$0.03−$9.96−$8.16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 11?Yes5020¢0.1¢$0.03−$9.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11?Yes307¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.07+$9.60

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?89.7¢6$5.3127%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?80¢10$8.0027%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?79¢40$3227%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?57¢50$2927%53
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 12?6¢200$1227%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 11?0.1¢120$0.1527%53
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?82.6¢60$4927%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11?4.7¢50$2.3427%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?18.8¢20$3.7527%53
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?99.9¢40$4027%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?41.5¢40$1727%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?70.7¢30$2127%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11?87.6¢35$3127%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11?88.2¢20$1827%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11?87.9¢80$7027%53
BUY NoAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?75¢32$2427%53
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?3.6¢38$1.3527%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 11?3.8¢47$1.8027%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?84.8¢38$3227%53
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 11?4.9¢20$0.9927%53