sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,804

0x830…9f5b

0x830…9f5b
PoliticsCultureWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$55vol $5,414
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.6%adj 51.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$600cash n/a
Positions22 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.5%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$55below peak −$0.84Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale25
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$87Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? · Yesopen+$48Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed+$48Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Noopen+$34Will there be 1 NYT banner headline by February 28? · Yesopen+$29

Worst markets

Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed−$44Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? · Yesopen−$32Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yesopen−$27Will there be at least 2 NYT banner headlines by February 28? · Yesopen−$27Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22? · Yesopen−$23

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Yes10051.9¢100¢$100+$48$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No10066¢100¢$100+$34$0
Will there be 1 NYT banner headline by February 28?Yes10071¢100¢$100+$29$0
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes10080¢100¢$100+$20$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?Yes10091.4¢100¢$100+$8.60$0
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes10094.3¢100¢$100+$5.70$0
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes7033.9¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes6003.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2032¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2001.6¢0¢$0−$3.10$0
Will "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2001.7¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?Yes20011.5¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will "Homefront" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes2001.6¢0¢$0−$3.10$0
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Yes10331.2¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Yes1013.7¢0¢$0−$3.70$0
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes1011.5¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Yes1009¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will there be at least 2 NYT banner headlines by February 28?Yes10027¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes10011¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes1001.8¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will Samuel A. Alito attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes10019¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Yes1001.1¢0¢$0−$1.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address?11¢100$1156%23
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?66¢100$6656%23
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?91.4¢100$9156%23
BUY YesWill Samuel A. Alito attend the 2026 State of the Union address?19¢100$1956%23
BUY YesWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?3¢100$3.0056%23
BUY YesWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?31.2¢103$3256%23
BUY YesWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?51.9¢100$5256%23
BUY YesWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?1.1¢100$1.1056%23
BUY YesWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?9¢100$9.0056%23
BUY YesWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?3.7¢101$3.7056%23
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?4¢100$4.0056%23
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?84¢100$8456%23
SELL NoWill "Good" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)23¢100$2356%23
SELL NoWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?96.9¢200$19456%23
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?84¢100$8456%23
BUY YesWill "Homefront" be the top US Netflix movie this week?1.3¢100$1.3056%23
BUY YesWill "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week?1.9¢100$1.9056%23
BUY YesWill "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?1.2¢100$1.2056%23
BUY YesWill "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week?1.4¢100$1.4056%23
BUY NoWill "Good" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)24¢100$2456%23