| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | Yes | 10.2k | 79¢ | 92.4¢ | $9,450 | +$1,366 | +$418 | |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 8,169 | 84.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $7,475 | +$566 | +$30 | |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 5,207 | 77.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $4,556 | +$504 | +$9.36 | |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? | Yes | 4,590 | 86.2¢ | 95.7¢ | $4,393 | +$436 | +$381 | |
| Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election? | Yes | 3,924 | 94.9¢ | 99.4¢ | $3,900 | +$177 | +$13 | |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,769 | 76¢ | 93¢ | $3,506 | +$642 | +$388 | |
| Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,268 | 76¢ | 95¢ | $3,104 | +$619 | +$564 | |
| Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,375 | 71.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $2,886 | +$473 | +$46 | |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2,895 | 82.1¢ | 95.1¢ | $2,752 | +$375 | $0 | |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | Yes | 2,640 | 85.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $2,389 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election? | Yes | 2,730 | 65.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $2,361 | +$568 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election? | Yes | 2,275 | 70.9¢ | 92¢ | $2,093 | +$479 | $0 | |
| Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 2,160 | 76.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,868 | +$209 | +$62 | |
| Will "32B" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,909 | 78.8¢ | 93.9¢ | $1,793 | +$289 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,106 | 71.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,780 | +$274 | $0 | |
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 2,129 | 71.6¢ | 81¢ | $1,725 | +$201 | $0 | |
| Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | No | 1,799 | 66.3¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,412 | +$219 | +$109 | |
| Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next? | No | 1,335 | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | $1,335 | +$229 | +$176 | |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026? | Yes | 1,467 | 66.9¢ | 88.4¢ | $1,296 | +$314 | +$1.73 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election? | Yes | 1,379 | 81.1¢ | 93¢ | $1,282 | +$164 | +$124 | |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | No | 1,988 | 58.5¢ | 63¢ | $1,253 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election? | Yes | 1,588 | 68.7¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,230 | +$139 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | Yes | 1,911 | 53.1¢ | 63¢ | $1,204 | +$189 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 1,179 | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | $1,179 | +$64 | $0 | |
| Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,425 | 69.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,176 | +$189 | +$61 | |
| Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,213 | 74.8¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,168 | +$260 | +$714 | |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | No | 1,652 | 49.1¢ | 70.5¢ | $1,164 | +$353 | +$79 | |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election? | Yes | 1,539 | 41¢ | 75¢ | $1,154 | +$522 | +$0.47 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 1,443 | 66.8¢ | 77¢ | $1,111 | +$147 | +$106 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 1,312 | 65.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,095 | +$235 | +$76 | |
| Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? | Yes | 1,107 | 94.8¢ | 98¢ | $1,084 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026? | Yes | 1,045 | 84.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $1,042 | +$156 | +$63 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 1,112 | 80.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,039 | +$141 | +$88 | |
| Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,058 | 84.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $979 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 1,245 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $977 | −$6.22 | $0 | |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,206 | 75.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $959 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election? | Yes | 1,259 | 59.1¢ | 75¢ | $944 | +$200 | +$13 | |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | Yes | 1,166 | 71.7¢ | 75¢ | $875 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 930 | 79.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $870 | +$133 | +$48 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | No | 1,236 | 61.9¢ | 70.3¢ | $869 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election? | Yes | 1,684 | 30.4¢ | 50¢ | $842 | +$331 | +$8.20 | |
| Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 821 | 84.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $816 | +$120 | +$82 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | No | 1,493 | 53.7¢ | 53¢ | $791 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Luke Campbell arrested by December 31? | No | 791 | 75.7¢ | 96.8¢ | $766 | +$167 | +$213 | |
| Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 1,448 | 25.8¢ | 52.5¢ | $760 | +$387 | $0 | |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | No | 924 | 67.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $744 | +$118 | +$46 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | No | 853 | 72.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $721 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 830 | 74.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $718 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 824 | 74¢ | 86¢ | $708 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | No | 800 | 82.5¢ | 87.9¢ | $703 | +$43 | +$10 | |
| Will AP call US Senate control by January 4, 11:59 PM? | Yes | 718 | 86.7¢ | 97.9¢ | $702 | +$80 | +$55 | |
| Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 783 | 71.9¢ | 89¢ | $696 | +$134 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 891 | 67.3¢ | 75.7¢ | $674 | +$75 | +$128 | |
| Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,099 | 62.2¢ | 60.5¢ | $665 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 65%-70%? | No | 686 | 85.3¢ | 94¢ | $645 | +$60 | +$56 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%? | No | 854 | 68¢ | 74.5¢ | $636 | +$55 | +$109 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | Yes | 1,097 | 34.5¢ | 57.9¢ | $635 | +$256 | +$366 | |
| Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | Yes | 970 | 40.7¢ | 65.1¢ | $631 | +$237 | +$35 | |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? | Yes | 870 | 63¢ | 71.5¢ | $622 | +$74 | +$0.71 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%? | No | 900 | 62.5¢ | 69¢ | $621 | +$59 | +$0.83 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? | Yes | 827 | 75.8¢ | 75¢ | $621 | −$7.02 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 1,387 | 40.3¢ | 44¢ | $610 | +$51 | +$34 | |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election? | Yes | 847 | 56.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $606 | +$130 | $0 | |
| Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 773 | 61.7¢ | 74¢ | $572 | +$95 | +$32 | |
| Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 692 | 58.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $557 | +$152 | +$482 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? | Yes | 653 | 67.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $552 | +$112 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%? | No | 715 | 60.3¢ | 77.2¢ | $552 | +$121 | +$31 | |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? | No | 565 | 84.8¢ | 97¢ | $548 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? | Yes | 571 | 67.7¢ | 80¢ | $457 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | No | 564 | 56.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $454 | +$135 | $0 | |
| Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 975 | 45.4¢ | 45.5¢ | $443 | +$1.24 | +$289 | |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%? | No | 462 | 68.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $441 | +$124 | +$49 | |
| Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 485 | 82.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $439 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 522 | 82.1¢ | 84¢ | $439 | +$9.84 | $0 | |
| Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? | No | 691 | 48.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $432 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 1,254 | 23.3¢ | 31.9¢ | $400 | +$108 | +$2.75 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 1,185 | 22¢ | 33.5¢ | $397 | +$136 | +$26 | |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? | No | 513 | 61.9¢ | 77¢ | $395 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 515 | 69.9¢ | 76¢ | $391 | +$31 | +$1.00 | |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | No | 549 | 61¢ | 70.9¢ | $389 | +$54 | +$98 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 763 | 23.1¢ | 50.5¢ | $385 | +$209 | +$17 | |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 527 | 61.4¢ | 68¢ | $358 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 427 | 70.4¢ | 83¢ | $354 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 339 | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | $339 | +$169 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 375 | 82.7¢ | 87.9¢ | $330 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 890 | 25.4¢ | 36.1¢ | $321 | +$96 | +$36 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%? | Yes | 956 | 19¢ | 33.5¢ | $320 | +$139 | +$11 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 329 | 83¢ | 97.4¢ | $320 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 30%-35%? | No | 377 | 75.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $318 | +$35 | +$20 | |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,213 | 21.2¢ | 25.5¢ | $309 | +$53 | +$49 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 1,322 | 19.5¢ | 23.2¢ | $307 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 574 | 26¢ | 52¢ | $298 | +$149 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 318 | 72¢ | 93.5¢ | $297 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 678 | 28.3¢ | 42.5¢ | $288 | +$96 | +$2.13 | |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election? | Yes | 644 | 51.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $267 | −$63 | +$0.88 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 309 | 63.4¢ | 86.3¢ | $267 | +$71 | +$6.32 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 396 | 65.8¢ | 65.5¢ | $260 | −$1.18 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 933 | 11¢ | 27.2¢ | $253 | +$151 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 454 | 26.2¢ | 54.1¢ | $245 | +$126 | $0 | |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 500 | 43.3¢ | 46¢ | $230 | +$13 | $0 | |