sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,278

yoyobb2018

0x832…5c91
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+SportOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$862vol $4.44M
PnL 30d−$5,665gains $2,539 · losses $8,034
PnL 7d−$496win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate78.3%adj 77.2% · 30d 59.6%
Open value$102kcash n/a
Positions89 / 1,012open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$6,362below peak −$15.1kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 78.3% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 89

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes11.0k83.8¢72.5¢$7,950−$1,238+$1,132
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes5,83592.7¢98¢$5,715+$308+$1,241
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes6,58483.6¢82¢$5,399−$105+$5.65
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No5,13594.8¢96.1¢$4,932+$65+$22
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?No5,95590.4¢79.8¢$4,752−$630−$32
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes4,78890.5¢93.5¢$4,476+$144+$128
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No4,13292.5¢97.4¢$4,024+$203+$33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No4,26592.5¢92.5¢$3,945−$1.35−$29
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?No4,59993.5¢85.8¢$3,944−$356−$31
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No4,05892.5¢91¢$3,690−$63−$72
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic3,06095.4¢95.5¢$2,922+$3.35+$102
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No2,36896.9¢99.3¢$2,351+$56+$2.36
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,24193.3¢99.3¢$2,224+$133+$492
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No1,98297.1¢99.1¢$1,963+$39$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No2,15192.9¢90.5¢$1,947−$52−$6.01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes2,68876¢69.5¢$1,868−$175−$42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?No1,86695.1¢98.4¢$1,836+$62$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes2,30192.1¢78.8¢$1,812−$308+$12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No1,84597.4¢97.4¢$1,796−$0.83+$3.54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No1,52796.3¢98.6¢$1,504+$34$0
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes1,98575.3¢63.5¢$1,260−$234$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No1,17294.8¢100¢$1,171+$61+$152
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No1,16492.6¢99.5¢$1,158+$80+$216
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,10094.9¢97¢$1,066+$23$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10.0k12.4¢10.5¢$1,054−$194+$34
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1,23386.5¢82.5¢$1,017−$50+$8.26
Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No1,31183.4¢77.5¢$1,016−$77+$0.68
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No1,02794¢96.9¢$995+$29+$18
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes2,52875¢38.5¢$973−$923−$48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No1,00495.1¢96.2¢$966+$11+$19
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No1,15883¢81.5¢$944−$17−$8.87
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No1,24081.2¢74.5¢$924−$83−$731
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No91591.3¢97.2¢$890+$54+$31
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes1,29672.1¢65¢$842−$92$0
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?No85095.4¢96.3¢$818+$7.56+$56
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No80096.6¢97.3¢$778+$5.04+$262
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No73796.6¢99.6¢$734+$21−$1,569
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No88582.1¢80.5¢$713−$14−$0.01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No70997.8¢97.3¢$690−$3.67+$7.12
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes1,03275.7¢66.5¢$686−$95+$1.19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No69293.8¢96.9¢$671+$22+$37
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes74993.1¢85.5¢$640−$57−$12
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes67394.8¢94.6¢$637−$1.32$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes88580.2¢66.5¢$588−$121$0
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes60094.8¢95.4¢$572+$3.60$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes57593.6¢96.4¢$554+$16+$53
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No1,44357.8¢37.5¢$541−$294−$77
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?No66484.9¢81.4¢$540−$23−$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes4,00013.5¢13.5¢$540$0$0
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No1,03384.1¢51.2¢$529−$340+$2.26
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes8,37012.4¢6.1¢$506−$530+$15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No57682.5¢86.5¢$498+$23+$50
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?No59191.4¢80.5¢$476−$65−$0.79
Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No59088.9¢80¢$472−$52+$3.32
Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?No47890.1¢90.5¢$432+$2.11+$0.12
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No43391.2¢97.9¢$424+$29−$5.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes48480.8¢86.5¢$419+$28+$100
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No42196¢98.1¢$413+$8.87+$9.16
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes2,51836.3¢16¢$403−$510$0
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes62261.9¢61.5¢$382−$2.42+$22
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No1,19080.6¢30¢$357−$602−$941
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No40089¢88.5¢$354−$2.00−$0.72
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No40277.5¢77.5¢$311−$0.01−$1.38
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes30496.1¢98.6¢$299+$7.44+$8.00
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?No30190¢90.5¢$273+$1.51$0
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes29387¢92.5¢$271+$16+$14
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No24993.7¢95.4¢$238+$4.24+$0.49
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes22395.1¢94.9¢$212−$0.44+$64
Trump out as President before 2027?No20095¢96.2¢$192+$2.30+$383
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No20192¢89.5¢$180−$5.02$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No21181¢81.5¢$172+$1.14$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No20184¢84.5¢$170+$1.00−$0.69
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No20280¢78.5¢$158−$3.02$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes24071.6¢62¢$149−$23$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,00012¢6.5¢$130−$110$0
Will Trump resign before 2027?No13094.3¢97.5¢$127+$4.17$0
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Yes35461¢28.5¢$101−$115−$17
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No9596¢96.9¢$92+$0.81+$0.28
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?No29628¢29.5¢$87+$4.44−$2.85
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No7998.9¢99.4¢$79+$0.40+$1.42
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?No5298.1¢97.7¢$50−$0.24$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,25011¢4¢$49−$88+$27
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No4096.7¢97.9¢$39+$0.47+$16
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes10073.9¢36¢$36−$38+$9.85
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No3396¢96.5¢$32+$0.15+$0.28
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No3096.5¢97.7¢$29+$0.34+$2.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes2088.9¢90.5¢$18+$0.31+$42
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No590.2¢94.4¢$4.72+$0.21−$0.01
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX270.2¢74.5¢$1.30+$0.07$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?67¢60$4078%46
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?67¢9$6.0378%46
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?67¢17$1178%46
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?66.2¢44$2978%46
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?66¢1,032$68178%46
BUY YesWill Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?61¢19$1278%46
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?74¢6$4.4478%46
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?74¢62$4678%46
BUY YesWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?60¢20$1278%46
BUY NoKOSPI all-time high before 2028?55¢509$28078%46
BUY YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?94¢73$6978%46
BUY YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?95¢310$29578%46
SELL YesWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?0.7¢122$0.8878%46
BUY YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?93¢100$9378%46
BUY NoKOSPI all-time high before 2028?53¢102$5478%46
BUY NoKOSPI all-time high before 2028?52¢204$10678%46
SELL YesWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?0.7¢419$3.0978%46
BUY YesWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?96.8¢40$3978%46
BUY YesWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?96.8¢100$9778%46
BUY YesWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?96.5¢528$51078%46