sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

DeezNuggies

0x833…eb93@world_blocks
WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,344vol $329k
PnL 30d+$1,329gains $985 · losses $58
PnL 7d+$838win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate61.5%adj 60.6% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$8,004cash n/a
Positions31 / 261open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,108below peak −$16.7kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.5% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo4,72677.6¢91.5¢$4,325+$657$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,43444.7¢63.5¢$911+$269$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,00044.5¢63.5¢$635+$190$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?No2,00419.3¢20.5¢$411+$24$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes50092¢77.5¢$388−$73$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?No39177¢81.5¢$319+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No46051¢54¢$248+$14$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1,05127.8¢21.5¢$226−$66$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No50031¢39.5¢$198+$43$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No16947.3¢68.5¢$116+$36$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No25531¢41.5¢$106+$27$0
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No6680¢80.5¢$53+$0.33$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No50016¢10.5¢$53−$28$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes4509.5¢3.8¢$17−$26$0
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No9,45032¢0¢$0−$3,024−$2.04
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No7,57311.3¢0¢$0−$856−$23
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No4,88961.8¢0¢$0−$3,020−$13
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2,23753¢0¢$0−$1,186−$11
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo1,67832¢0¢$0−$537−$24
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes1,3002.9¢0¢$0−$37−$0.19
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,00023¢0¢$0−$230$0
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No1,0006¢0¢$0−$60−$0.30
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes65050¢0¢$0−$325−$1.63
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No35313¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will Frédéric Poulin win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?No30042¢0¢$0−$126−$0.63
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No29137¢0¢$0−$108$0
Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?No20018¢0¢$0−$36−$1.54
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No15847¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No6714¢0¢$0−$9.40$0
Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?No619¢0¢$0−$1.21−$0.05
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes555¢0¢$0−$2.62$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?19¢1,400$26662%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?77¢391$30162%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?20¢104$2162%37
BUY YesWill Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?17¢50$8.5062%37
BUY YesWill Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?17¢50$8.5062%37
BUY YesWill Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?41¢21$8.6162%37
BUY YesWill Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?86.4¢945$81662%37
BUY YesWill Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?79¢40$3262%37
BUY NoWill Guillaume Cliche-Rivard win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?34.2¢320$11062%37
BUY YesWill Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?85.8¢142$12262%37
BUY NoWill Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?18¢200$3662%37
BUY NoWill Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?19¢6$1.2162%37
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?52.5¢35$1862%37
BUY NoWill Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?85¢400$34062%37
BUY NoWill Beauty And A Beat be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?78¢53$4162%37
BUY NoFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score32¢1,678$53762%37
BUY NoWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?82¢623$51162%37
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?60¢466$27962%37
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?64¢1,160$74262%37
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?62.9¢247$15562%37