Traders/Rank #19,738

0x835…9beb

1y+SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$14.2kvol $1.33M

PnL 30d+$350gains $13.9k · losses $14.4k

PnL 7d+$1,463win rate 7d 82.3%

Win rate38.2%adj 38.7% · 30d 49.2%

Open value$3,472cash n/a

Positions81 / 2,990open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age2.1ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$11.2kbelow peak −$23.7kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 38.2% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Lions Team Total: O/U 27.5 · Overclosed+$341 Chiefs vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 22.5 · Overclosed+$283 Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$281 Spread: Jets (-2.5) · Jetsclosed+$273 Rice vs. East Carolina: O/U 47.5 · Underclosed+$264

Worst markets

Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5 · Overclosed−$409 Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawksopen−$405 Jets vs. Bears: O/U 42.5 · Overclosed−$400 Lions Team Total: O/U 27.5 · Overclosed−$400 Jaguars vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5 · Overclosed−$300

Open positions · 81

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5	Over	766	52.2¢	51.5¢	$395	−$5.34	$0	5d 3h
Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	Over	714	56¢	55¢	$393	−$7.14	$0	4d 3h
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	569	44.8¢	61.5¢	$350	+$95	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	258	48.5¢	63.5¢	$164	+$39	$0	21d 3h
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5	Under	302	49.6¢	52.5¢	$159	+$8.76	$0	4d 3h
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	236	53¢	61.5¢	$145	+$20	$0	21d 3h
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	168	74.5¢	84.5¢	$142	+$17	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	305	41¢	42.5¢	$130	+$4.57	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	142	88¢	90.5¢	$129	+$3.55	$0	21d 3h
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	279	44.7¢	45.5¢	$127	+$2.15	$0	3mo
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	431	29¢	27.5¢	$119	−$6.47	$0	21d 3h
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	294	17¢	38.5¢	$113	+$63	$0	ended
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	162	61.8¢	69.5¢	$112	+$12	$0	21d 3h
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	259	19.3¢	37.5¢	$97	+$47	$0	21d 3h
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	282	44.3¢	32.5¢	$92	−$33	$0	10mo
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	200	25¢	36¢	$72	+$22	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	417	12¢	15.5¢	$65	+$15	$0	21d 3h
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	88	57¢	73.5¢	$64	+$14	$0	21d 3h
Will Besiktas win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	943	5.3¢	5.7¢	$54	+$3.73	$0	8mo
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	250	20¢	20.5¢	$51	+$1.25	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	125	20¢	33.5¢	$42	+$17	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	45	55.1¢	82.5¢	$37	+$12	$0	21d 3h
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	No	65	38.6¢	53.5¢	$35	+$9.61	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	77	32.4¢	36.5¢	$28	+$3.14	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	44	56.2¢	59¢	$26	+$1.24	$0	21d 3h
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	100	55¢	25.5¢	$26	−$29	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	34	74¢	74¢	$25	$0	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	60	42¢	37.5¢	$22	−$2.68	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	63	39.9¢	34.5¢	$22	−$3.40	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	54	46¢	38.5¢	$21	−$4.08	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	65	38.3¢	31.5¢	$21	−$4.46	$0	21d 3h
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	109	23¢	17.5¢	$19	−$5.98	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	179	14¢	10.5¢	$19	−$6.25	$0	21d 3h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	128	15.7¢	14.2¢	$18	−$1.94	$0	21d 3h
Will Mansoor Delane win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	212	7.5¢	8.4¢	$18	+$1.91	$0	4mo
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	96	26¢	15.5¢	$15	−$10	$0	21d 3h
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	167	6¢	8.5¢	$14	+$4.17	$0	3mo
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	250	20¢	5.5¢	$14	−$36	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?	Yes	125	20¢	10.4¢	$13	−$12	$0	21d 3h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	385	2.6¢	3.3¢	$12	+$2.50	$0	6mo
Will Trump resign before 2027?	Yes	435	2.3¢	2.5¢	$11	+$0.87	$0	3mo
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	44	22.9¢	21.5¢	$9.40	−$0.60	$0	3mo
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	45	24¢	16¢	$7.20	−$3.60	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	92	5.4¢	7.7¢	$7.05	+$2.05	$0	21d 3h
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	59	17¢	10.5¢	$6.18	−$3.82	$0	6mo
Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?	Yes	139	10.8¢	4.4¢	$6.13	−$8.87	$0	ended
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	148	16.9¢	2.9¢	$4.36	−$21	$0	3mo
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	100	10¢	3.9¢	$3.85	−$6.15	$0	3mo
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	702	57¢	0¢	$0	−$400	−$5.16	ended
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	400	25¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$3.75	ended
Iowa State vs. BYU	Iowa State	250	20¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.20	ended
Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 51.5	Over	192	52¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.44	ended
Bills Team Total: O/U 26.5	Under	192	52¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.44	ended
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	West Virginia	192	52¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.44	ended
Iowa vs. Washington: O/U 41.5	Under	192	52¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.44	ended
Spread: USC (-1.5)	Penn State	189	53¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.41	ended
Ducks vs. Jets	Jets	189	53¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$2.35	ended
Duke vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 45.5	Under	185	54¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.38	ended
Texas vs. Oklahoma: O/U 42.5	Under	175	57¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.29	ended
Bills vs. Rams	Rams	163	61.5¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$0.57	ended
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	132	38¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.55	ended
Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5	Under	100	50¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.25	ended
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-11?	No	98	51¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.23	ended
Indiana vs. Nebraska	Nebraska	96	26¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.56	ended
Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Over	89	56¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.10	ended
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	69	36¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.80	ended
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Getafe CF	53	47¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.66	ended
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-10?	No	50	50¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.63	ended
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)	Texas A&M	49	51¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.37	ended
Syracuse vs. Virginia	Syracuse	48	21¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.24	ended
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	46	54¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.57	ended
UCF vs. Oklahoma State	UCF	45	22¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.23	ended
Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	43	58¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.32	ended
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	42	59¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.51	ended
Spread: Wake Forest (-3.5)	NC State	38	53¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.28	ended
Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5)	UCF	38	53¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.28	ended
James Madison vs. Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern	37	27¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.22	ended
Rice vs. East Carolina: O/U 39.5	Under	33	30¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.21	ended
Texas A&M vs. Missouri	Texas A&M	32	39¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.23	ended
Wake Forest vs. NC State	NC State	31	40¢	0¢	$0	−$13	−$0.23	ended
Miami (OH) vs. UMass	UMass	28	36¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.19	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Penguins	Spread: Penguins (-1.5)	38¢	132	$50	38%	27
1h ago	BUY Bruins	Bruins vs. Sharks	54¢	93	$50	38%	27
1h ago	BUY Golden Knights	Golden Knights vs. Predators	55¢	91	$50	38%	27
1h ago	BUY Flyers	Kraken vs. Flyers	52¢	96	$50	38%	27
1h ago	BUY Red Wings	Devils vs. Red Wings	51¢	98	$50	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Cleveland Guardians	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	59¢	169	$100	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Milwaukee Brewers	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	60¢	167	$100	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Rams	Bills vs. Rams	62¢	81	$50	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Under	Bills Team Total: O/U 26.5	52¢	192	$100	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Under	Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5	49.6¢	302	$150	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Over	Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5	52.2¢	766	$400	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Over	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	56¢	714	$400	38%	27
1d ago	BUY Ravens	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	53¢	189	$100	38%	27
2d ago	BUY Over	Bengals Team Total: O/U 26.5	57¢	526	$300	38%	27
2d ago	BUY Rams	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	58¢	43	$25	38%	27
2d ago	BUY Jets	Spread: Jets (-2.5)	52¢	577	$300	38%	27
2d ago	BUY No	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11?	52¢	96	$50	38%	27
2d ago	BUY No	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	39¢	128	$50	38%	27
2d ago	BUY No	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?	48¢	104	$50	38%	27
2d ago	BUY No	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-11?	51¢	98	$50	38%	27