sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,692

Retired-Davis

0x836…e9a6
1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$40.8kvol $12.7M
PnL 30d−$918gains $362 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$840win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate59.1%adj 58.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$45.9kcash n/a
Positions59 / 394open / all-time
Max drawdown−55.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$34.3kbelow peak −$18.9kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.1% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? · Noclosed+$89.2kWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$77.7kWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3? · Yesclosed+$39.0kEthereum all time high by June 30? · Noclosed+$19.6kWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration? · Noclosed+$17.9k

Worst markets

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yesclosed−$44.0kWill Trump win Iowa by 12+ points? · Noclosed−$35.5kWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed−$32.9kPump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? · Noclosed−$30.2kWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$24.1k

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10.2k85¢82.5¢$8,445−$256$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?No6,90181.1¢88.5¢$6,108+$509+$12
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?No4,29087¢96.5¢$4,140+$409+$0.36
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?No3,65785.2¢97.6¢$3,568+$451+$4.71
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No3,00879.7¢85.5¢$2,572+$176$0
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No2,43586.8¢97.3¢$2,368+$254$0
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,64887.6¢95.5¢$1,573+$129+$64
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,63279.6¢92.7¢$1,512+$213+$128
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,45385.8¢96.9¢$1,407+$160$0
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No1,44785¢96.1¢$1,390+$161$0
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,50584.5¢88.4¢$1,330+$59$0
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,38779.8¢94¢$1,303+$197$0
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,37686¢89¢$1,224+$42$0
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,27684.9¢95.9¢$1,223+$140+$27
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,30685¢92.8¢$1,212+$102$0
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,17979.6¢97¢$1,144+$205$0
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,12989.6¢96.1¢$1,085+$74$0
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No91487.6¢84.9¢$776−$25+$9.12
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?No80387.6¢93.5¢$751+$47$0
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?No76186.6¢97¢$738+$79+$36
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?No75487¢92.7¢$698+$43+$39
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?No60380¢93.6¢$564+$82+$36
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?No50084.7¢89.6¢$448+$24$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢1.5¢$73+$73$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢1.4¢$68+$68$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0005¢6.4¢$64+$14$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.7¢$33+$33$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.5¢$28+$28$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.2¢$7.50+$7.50$0
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?No477¢93.5¢$3.88+$0.68+$81
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000¢0.1¢$2.50+$2.50$0
Patriots vs. BroncosBroncos30.0k32¢0¢$0−$9,600$0
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No5,00053¢0¢$0−$2,649$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes4,58553¢0¢$0−$2,430$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Yes4,00016¢0¢$0−$640$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes3,1809.1¢0¢$0−$289$0
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No2,94652.7¢0¢$0−$1,551$0
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes2,12579¢0¢$0−$1,679$0
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes1,9873.1¢0¢$0−$62$0
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes78632¢0¢$0−$252$0
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No72551¢0¢$0−$370$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No52789¢0¢$0−$469$0
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?Yes28034.9¢0¢$0−$98$0
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No22026¢0¢$0−$57$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes20412¢0¢$0−$25−$676
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No1335¢0¢$0−$4.39$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢5,626$4,78259%39
SELL NoWill Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?95.1¢1,113$1,05859%39
SELL NoWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?95¢309$29359%39
SELL NoWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?95.2¢1,304$1,24259%39
SELL NoWill Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?97¢543$52759%39
SELL NoWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?98.1¢1,699$1,66759%39
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢4,610$3,91959%39
SELL NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?52.1¢206$10759%39
SELL YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?50¢1,058$53059%39
SELL NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢2,052$1,80559%39
BUY NoWill Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?89.5¢441$39559%39
BUY NoWill Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?88¢459$40459%39
BUY NoWill Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?87.7¢1,088$95459%39
BUY NoWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?88¢599$52859%39
BUY NoWill Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?87.9¢814$71659%39
BUY NoWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?89.6¢1,129$1,01159%39
BUY NoWill Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?87.5¢1,933$1,69259%39
BUY NoWill Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?87.5¢1,063$93059%39
BUY NoWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?87.8¢1,056$92759%39
BUY NoWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?87¢1,006$87659%39