sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,558

merod

0x837…f0bc
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSportOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$121kvol $2.02M
PnL 30d−$31.6kgains $43.6k · losses $15.6k
PnL 7d−$27.5kwin rate 7d 44.5%
Win rate44.5%adj 44.7% · 30d 44.5%
Open value$1,136cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 11,357open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 28m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$315kbelow peak −$61.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 44.5% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1944.5¢3.1¢$5.91−$2.90$0
Will SC Paderborn be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1944.5¢2.9¢$5.62−$3.19$0
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes5,0903¢0.1¢$2.54−$152−$14
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,2973.4¢0.1¢$1.65−$112$0
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,2973.4¢0.1¢$1.65−$112$0
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,2973.4¢0.1¢$1.65−$112$0
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,2973.4¢0.1¢$1.65−$112$0
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1551.6¢1.1¢$1.63−$0.79$0
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2,8572.6¢0.1¢$1.43−$72$0
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2,8572.6¢0.1¢$1.43−$72$0
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2,8572.6¢0.1¢$1.43−$72$0
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,7973.4¢0.1¢$1.40−$95−$17
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes2,7693.7¢0.1¢$1.38−$101$0
Will SV Elversberg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1944.5¢0.6¢$1.16−$7.64$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,7093.1¢0.1¢$0.85−$53$0
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,6632.8¢0.1¢$0.83−$45$0
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,6632.8¢0.1¢$0.83−$45$0
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,6632.8¢0.1¢$0.83−$45$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes1,6452.7¢0.1¢$0.82−$44$0
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,5782.8¢0.1¢$0.79−$43$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes1,5612.7¢0.1¢$0.78−$42$0
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,5181.8¢0.1¢$0.76−$26$0
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,4031.8¢0.1¢$0.70−$24$0
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,2881.8¢0.1¢$0.64−$22$0
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1551.6¢0.4¢$0.62−$1.80$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,1973.1¢0.1¢$0.60−$37$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,1973.1¢0.1¢$0.60−$37$0
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Yes1,17814.3¢0.1¢$0.59−$168$0
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,1731.8¢0.1¢$0.59−$20$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,1731.8¢0.1¢$0.59−$20$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes1,14814.3¢0.1¢$0.57−$163−$4.29
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1551.6¢0.4¢$0.54−$1.88$0
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,0714.2¢0.1¢$0.54−$44$0
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,0594.8¢0.1¢$0.53−$50$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,0594.8¢0.1¢$0.53−$50$0
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,0367.7¢0.1¢$0.52−$79−$14
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,0367.7¢0.1¢$0.52−$79−$14
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,0213.1¢0.1¢$0.51−$31−$2.67
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes5057.7¢0.1¢$0.51−$38−$93
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,0044.2¢0.1¢$0.50−$41$0
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,0044.2¢0.1¢$0.50−$41$0
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes9744.3¢0.1¢$0.49−$42$0
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes9744.3¢0.1¢$0.49−$42$0
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes9744.3¢0.1¢$0.49−$42$0
Will Hamburger SV be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1944.5¢0.3¢$0.48−$8.32$0
Will 1. FC Köln be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1944.5¢0.3¢$0.48−$8.32$0
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will James Wood win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will Otto Lopez win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes9361.9¢0.1¢$0.47−$18$0
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes9342.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$21$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes9342.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$21$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes9342.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$21$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes9342.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$21$0
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes9342.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$21$0
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes9342.3¢0.1¢$0.47−$21$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes90114.3¢0.1¢$0.45−$128$0
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes85820¢0.1¢$0.43−$171$0
Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes28519.8¢0.2¢$0.43−$56$0
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes8444.3¢0.1¢$0.42−$36$0
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes8444.3¢0.1¢$0.42−$36$0
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes8444.3¢0.1¢$0.42−$36$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes8281.8¢0.1¢$0.41−$14$0
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7894.3¢0.1¢$0.39−$34−$0.43
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes7782.6¢0.1¢$0.39−$20−$0.76
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1551.6¢0.3¢$0.39−$2.03$0
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes7442.7¢0.1¢$0.37−$20−$1.03
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7394.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$32$0
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7394.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$32$0
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7394.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$32$0
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7394.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$32$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes7163.7¢0.1¢$0.36−$26−$0.45
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes68520¢0.1¢$0.34−$137$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes67220¢0.1¢$0.34−$134$0
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes6544.3¢0.1¢$0.33−$28$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes64920¢0.1¢$0.32−$129$0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes5613.1¢0.1¢$0.28−$17$0
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes55511.5¢0.1¢$0.28−$64$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?87.8¢6$4.9345%63
SELL YesExact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 5 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?2.6¢7$0.1745%63
BUY NoWill Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?99.9¢25$2545%63
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?81.7¢25$2045%63
BUY NoWill Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?98.7¢25$2445%63
BUY NoWill Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?99.9¢25$2545%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 3 - 4 Gamba Ōsaka?0.3¢19$0.0645%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 4 - 3 Gamba Ōsaka?0.5¢19$0.0945%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 0 - 4 Gamba Ōsaka?0.2¢19$0.0445%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 1 - 4 Gamba Ōsaka?0.4¢19$0.0745%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 5 - 1 Gamba Ōsaka?0.9¢19$0.1745%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 2 - 4 Gamba Ōsaka?0.4¢19$0.0745%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 2 - 5 Gamba Ōsaka?0.1¢19$0.0245%63
SELL YesExact Score: Kashima Antlers 0 - 3 Gamba Ōsaka?0.9¢19$0.1745%63
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?99.1¢159$15745%63
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?99.7¢159$15845%63
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?25¢159$4045%63
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?97.2¢159$15445%63
BUY NoExact Score: Kashima Antlers 4 - 0 Gamba Ōsaka?98.3¢19$1845%63
BUY NoExact Score: Kashima Antlers 3 - 3 Gamba Ōsaka?98.7¢19$1845%63