PnL all-time−$2,937vol $247k
PnL 30d+$3,995gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$664win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.2%adj 77.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$52.2kcash n/a
Positions9 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6,650below peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 88.2% · shrunk toward 50%94
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$3,945Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$3,328Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$2,089Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$1,776Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? · Noclosed+$1,718
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$8,335Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed−$4,512Will Solana hit $275 by January 31, 2025? · Noclosed−$1,575Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? · Noopen−$630Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesopen−$580
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.4k | 78.9¢ | 97¢ | $17.9k | +$3,328 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.7k | 87.3¢ | 98.7¢ | $15.5k | +$1,776 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.1k | 67.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $14.8k | +$3,945 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,506 | 92¢ | 99.2¢ | $3,477 | +$251 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 512 | 82.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $498 | +$74 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $150 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.7k | 47.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,335 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$580 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? | No | 900 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$630 | $0 |
Recent trades
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