PnL all-time+$299vol $15.9k
PnL 30d−$5.10gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.25win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 52.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,100cash n/a
Positions7 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.8%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 11mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$299below peak −$188Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension? · Yesclosed+$455Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? · Yesclosed+$183Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31? · Noopen+$21Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31? · Noopen+$14Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? · Noopen+$14
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31? | No | 718 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $718 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31? | No | 282 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $282 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Macron out by October 31, 2025? | Yes | 2,000 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 1,000 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s