sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #7,755

poletrade

0x840…33c0
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$45vol $1,956
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 69.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$273cash n/a
Positions48 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 10mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$45below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale24
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass? · Yesclosed+$36Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Noopen+$3.52Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025? · Noopen+$1.73Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? · Noclosed+$1.63Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Noclosed+$0.83

Worst markets

Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesopen−$2.00Will Palantir dip to $156 in November? · Noopen−$1.00

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No10496.6¢100¢$104+$3.52$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No10298.3¢100¢$102+$1.73$0
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No2097.8¢100¢$20+$0.45$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No295.5¢100¢$2.09+$0.09$0
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No297.9¢100¢$2.04+$0.04$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No170¢100¢$1.43+$0.43$0
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?No191¢100¢$1.10+$0.10$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No191¢100¢$1.10+$0.10$0
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?No193¢100¢$1.08+$0.08$0
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No194¢100¢$1.06+$0.06$0
Megaquake by November 30?No194¢100¢$1.06+$0.06$0
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes195¢100¢$1.05+$0.05$0
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No195¢100¢$1.05+$0.05$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No195.7¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No195.9¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No195.9¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No196¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No196¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?No196¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No196.1¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?No196.2¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes196.2¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?No196.4¢100¢$1.04+$0.04$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No196.7¢100¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes196.9¢100¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?No197¢100¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No197.1¢100¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No197.3¢100¢$1.03+$0.03$0
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No197.6¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No197.7¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?No197.8¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No197.9¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No197.9¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?No197.9¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?No198.1¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?No198.2¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Yes198.4¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?No198.5¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No198.5¢100¢$1.02+$0.02$0
Fed rate hike in 2025?No198.6¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No198.8¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No198.9¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
China coup attempt in 2025?No199¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Will the Liberation Day tariff policy be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No199¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No199¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?No199.4¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes291.7¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Palantir dip to $156 in November?No190¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?98.4¢102$100100%31
SELL NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?96.7¢104$101100%31
BUY NoWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?98.4¢102$100100%31
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?95.9¢104$100100%31
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?99.3¢101$100100%31
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?98¢102$100100%31
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?98.3¢102$100100%31
BUY NoInterstellar object confirmed aliens?97.8¢20$20100%31
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?96.6¢104$100100%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?96.6¢991$958100%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?96.9¢17$17100%31
BUY YesWill the Government shutdown end by December 31?98.4¢1$1.00100%31
BUY YesWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?96.8¢42$41100%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?95.9¢1$1.00100%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?96.2¢1$1.00100%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?96.4¢1$1.00100%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?97.6¢1$1.00100%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?95¢1$1.00100%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?95.7¢1$1.00100%31
BUY NoWill Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?94¢1$1.00100%31