PnL all-time+$739kvol $69.1M
PnL 30d−$38.2kgains $19.1k · losses $11.5k
PnL 7d+$3,959win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate70.6%adj 69.7% · 30d 57.9%
Open value$159kcash n/a
Positions2 / 7,313open / all-time
Max drawdown−72.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$129kbelow peak −$136kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale84
Adjusted win rateraw 70.6% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity28
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$49.3kWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? · Yesclosed+$13.5kWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$9,153Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yesclosed+$5,070Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5 · Overclosed+$3,759
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$49.3kWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9? · Yesclosed−$1,918Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10? · Yesclosed−$1,914Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11? · Yesclosed−$1,791Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more? · Yesclosed−$1,710
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 159k | 50¢ | 81¢ | $129k | +$49.3k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 159k | 50¢ | 19.1¢ | $30.4k | −$49.3k | $0 |
Recent trades
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