PnL all-time+$133kvol $1,135
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.1%adj 53.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions1 / 501open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.1%of equity peak
Account age5.8ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$149kbelow peak −$213Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 53.1% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? · Noclosed+$16.4kWhich movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? · No Time to Dieclosed+$16.1kWill the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? · Yesclosed+$14.5kWill a team from China win Dota 2 The International 10? · Noclosed+$14.1kWill the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? · Noclosed+$13.8k
Worst markets
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? · Noclosed−$14.1kWhich movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? · Venom 2closed−$13.1kWill Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? · Yesclosed−$11.8kWill the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? · Noclosed−$10.4kWill the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? · Yesclosed−$9,915
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | No | 262 | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$181 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | 69¢ | 262 | $181 | 53% | 66 | |||
| BUY No | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | 98.4¢ | 181 | $178 | 53% | 66 | |||
| BUY No | Maduro out before September? | 84¢ | 178 | $149 | 53% | 66 | |||
| SELL No | Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? | 58¢ | 257 | $149 | 53% | 66 | |||
| BUY No | Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? | 39¢ | 257 | $100 | 53% | 66 |