sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,493

Andrija-859

0x849…63bd
WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$542vol $14.7k
PnL 30d+$15gains $66 · losses $10
PnL 7d−$2.73win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate64.5%adj 58.8% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions14 / 45open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.5%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$593below peak −$16Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 64.5% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d66
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No14458¢0¢$0−$83$0
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5735¢0¢$0−$20−$0.52
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5735¢0¢$0−$20−$0.52
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5618¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes4941¢0¢$0−$20−$0.47
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No4248¢0¢$0−$20−$0.42
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina4041.2¢0¢$0−$17−$0.49
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes3912.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.17
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes2619¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp2461.8¢0¢$0−$15−$0.40
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?Yes176¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown1533¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.23
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No1436¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.13
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?Yes468¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?92.5¢675$62465%43
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢503$47365%43
SELL YesWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?62¢441$27365%43
BUY NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?92.5¢215$19965%43
BUY NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?92.5¢131$12165%43
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET33¢15$5.0065%43
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.2¢329$32765%43
BUY YesWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?62.7¢127$8065%43
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.1¢82$8165%43
BUY YesWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?62.3¢314$19665%43
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.1¢203$19965%43
BUY NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?89.9¢38$3465%43
BUY Filip HrgovicMoises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic17¢34$5.8365%43
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?97.9¢6$6.0765%43
BUY NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?87.7¢228$20065%43
SELL NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?97.1¢207$20165%43
BUY NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?87.3¢63$5565%43
BUY NoWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?36¢14$5.0065%43
BUY NoWill Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?49.1¢10$5.0065%43
BUY NoWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?61¢8$5.0065%43