| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 190 | 77¢ | 74.5¢ | $141 | −$4.74 | −$169 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? | No | 125 | 68¢ | 59.5¢ | $74 | −$11 | −$21 | |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 150 | 53¢ | 48.5¢ | $73 | −$6.75 | −$13 | |
| Will Club América finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 80 | 83¢ | 78.5¢ | $63 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? | No | 100 | 73¢ | 55.5¢ | $56 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%? | No | 56 | 85¢ | 89¢ | $50 | +$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 50 | 53¢ | 98.3¢ | $49 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon? | No | 50 | 83¢ | 97.8¢ | $49 | +$7.38 | +$0.60 | |
| Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $45 | +$4.00 | −$6.93 | |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B? | No | 50 | 89¢ | 87.5¢ | $44 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | No | 50 | 90¢ | 86.5¢ | $43 | −$1.75 | −$18 | |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | No | 60 | 71¢ | 70¢ | $42 | −$0.60 | −$7.49 | |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | No | 50 | 94.8¢ | 83.7¢ | $42 | −$5.55 | $0 | |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | No | 50 | 85.8¢ | 83.2¢ | $42 | −$1.32 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026? | No | 50 | 86.7¢ | 81.4¢ | $41 | −$2.65 | −$19 | |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B? | Yes | 50 | 89¢ | 80¢ | $40 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 44 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $40 | −$0.66 | −$2.52 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 50 | 78.2¢ | 78.7¢ | $39 | +$0.25 | −$3.62 | |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | No | 40 | 93.5¢ | 92.3¢ | $37 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 50 | 72¢ | 69.5¢ | $35 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | No | 40 | 87¢ | 86.5¢ | $35 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 40 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $34 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | No | 40 | 90¢ | 81¢ | $32 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October? | No | 40 | 85.2¢ | 80.6¢ | $32 | −$1.86 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 83¢ | 80.5¢ | $32 | −$1.00 | −$18 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | No | 42 | 78¢ | 77.5¢ | $32 | −$0.21 | −$2.37 | |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 74¢ | 63¢ | $32 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in September? | No | 40 | 86¢ | 78.5¢ | $31 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31? | Yes | 38 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $31 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 60 | 55¢ | 51.5¢ | $31 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 60 | 58¢ | 49.5¢ | $30 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | No | 60 | 38¢ | 49.5¢ | $30 | +$6.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 40 | 76¢ | 69.5¢ | $28 | −$2.60 | −$6.39 | |
| Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G? | Yes | 40 | 85¢ | 68¢ | $27 | −$6.80 | −$9.26 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 31 | 87¢ | 85.5¢ | $26 | −$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | No | 50 | 65¢ | 52¢ | $26 | −$6.50 | −$2.00 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 38 | 74¢ | 68.5¢ | $26 | −$2.06 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 30 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $26 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027? | No | 28 | 91¢ | 91.3¢ | $26 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027? | No | 30 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $25 | −$0.15 | −$6.80 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 40 | 67¢ | 62¢ | $25 | −$2.00 | −$0.98 | |
| Will Bucheon FC 1995 be relegated from the 2026 K-League? | No | 25 | 90.3¢ | 99.2¢ | $25 | +$2.21 | $0 | |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September? | No | 36 | 72¢ | 67.5¢ | $24 | −$1.62 | −$0.48 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | No | 30 | 83.3¢ | 78.2¢ | $23 | −$1.53 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 12%-15%? | No | 28 | 87¢ | 83.5¢ | $23 | −$0.98 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | No | 25 | 93.7¢ | 92.6¢ | $23 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000? | No | 40 | 61.5¢ | 57.8¢ | $23 | −$1.50 | −$2.16 | |
| Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | No | 25 | 91.8¢ | 92.2¢ | $23 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | No | 40 | 65¢ | 57.5¢ | $23 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 40 | 72¢ | 57.5¢ | $23 | −$5.80 | −$3.50 | |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | No | 28 | 74¢ | 81¢ | $23 | +$1.96 | −$1.55 | |
| Will Algeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I? | Yes | 28 | 80¢ | 80.5¢ | $23 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 30 | 73¢ | 75¢ | $23 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Kruger United be relegated from the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership? | No | 30 | 91.1¢ | 74.9¢ | $22 | −$4.88 | $0 | |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft? | Yes | 50 | 43.8¢ | 44.6¢ | $22 | +$0.38 | −$1.49 | |
| Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 34 | 75¢ | 65.5¢ | $22 | −$3.18 | $0 | |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 35 | 77¢ | 62.5¢ | $22 | −$5.09 | −$2.09 | |
| Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | No | 28 | 86¢ | 78¢ | $22 | −$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026? | No | 25 | 88¢ | 86.5¢ | $22 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 30 | 74¢ | 71.5¢ | $21 | −$0.75 | −$6.15 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 28 | 74¢ | 76.5¢ | $21 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? | No | 25 | 88.1¢ | 84.7¢ | $21 | −$0.85 | −$5.77 | |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 45 | 55¢ | 47¢ | $21 | −$3.60 | −$0.69 | |
| Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 38 | 70¢ | 56¢ | $21 | −$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 30 | 69¢ | 70¢ | $21 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round? | No | 25 | 86¢ | 84¢ | $21 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will LSU have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 24 | 58¢ | 88.5¢ | $21 | +$7.22 | +$0.62 | |
| Will Ben Johns win zero Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season? | Yes | 42 | 41¢ | 49.5¢ | $21 | +$3.57 | +$0.72 | |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026? | No | 25 | 88¢ | 83¢ | $21 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 30 | 73¢ | 68¢ | $20 | −$1.50 | −$19 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October? | No | 28 | 72¢ | 72.5¢ | $20 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec? | No | 25 | 77¢ | 81¢ | $20 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | No | 25 | 89¢ | 80.5¢ | $20 | −$2.13 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 25 | 78¢ | 80.5¢ | $20 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 25 | 85¢ | 79.5¢ | $20 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane? | No | 21 | 68¢ | 95.7¢ | $20 | +$5.74 | −$4.00 | |
| Will Rennes reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16? | No | 40 | 51¢ | 49.5¢ | $20 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? | Yes | 50 | 47¢ | 39.5¢ | $20 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? | No | 25 | 80¢ | 79¢ | $20 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | No | 25 | 81¢ | 79¢ | $20 | −$0.50 | −$5.02 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000? | No | 25 | 80¢ | 78¢ | $20 | −$0.50 | −$7.00 | |
| Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m? | No | 20 | 59¢ | 97.3¢ | $19 | +$7.66 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 60%-65%? | No | 25 | 80.3¢ | 77.8¢ | $19 | −$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $19 | +$1.55 | $0 | |
| Will Kameto Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | No | 20 | 90¢ | 96.6¢ | $19 | +$1.31 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? | Yes | 20 | 94.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $19 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will AlloX FDV be above $150M one day after launch? | No | 25 | 79¢ | 76.5¢ | $19 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 50 | 48¢ | 38¢ | $19 | −$5.00 | −$3.64 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 10%-15%? | No | 25 | 82¢ | 76¢ | $19 | −$1.50 | −$8.52 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 28 | 69¢ | 67.5¢ | $19 | −$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 49 | 36¢ | 38.5¢ | $19 | +$1.23 | −$0.01 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | No | 40 | 68¢ | 47¢ | $19 | −$8.40 | −$1.00 | |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | No | 25 | 77¢ | 74.5¢ | $19 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | Yes | 40 | 60¢ | 46.5¢ | $19 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | Yes | 20 | 64¢ | 92.3¢ | $18 | +$5.65 | −$0.85 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 20 | 87¢ | 91.6¢ | $18 | +$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 25 | 71.7¢ | 73.3¢ | $18 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 60 | 35¢ | 30.5¢ | $18 | −$2.70 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | No | 20 | 80¢ | 91.5¢ | $18 | +$2.30 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 30 | 65¢ | 60.5¢ | $18 | −$1.35 | −$12 | |