Traders/Rank #4,154

mooseborzoi

0x84c…2f63

WhaleSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$10.6Mvol $381M

PnL 30d−$2.70Mgains $271k · losses $197k

PnL 7d−$137kwin rate 7d 45.2%

Win rate45.2%adj 45.4% · 30d 45.2%

Open value$279kcash n/a

Positions64 / 28,305open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8.32Mbelow peak −$8.92MOct 8

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 45.2% · shrunk toward 50%13

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Rams vs. Eagles · Ramsclosed+$50.0k Cowboys vs. Texans · Cowboysclosed+$35.2k Kentucky vs. South Carolina · Kentuckyclosed+$30.6k Lions vs. Panthers · Panthersclosed+$23.7k Jaguars vs. Bengals · Jaguarsclosed+$16.4k

Worst markets

Lions vs. Panthers · Lionsclosed−$68.0k Spread: Air Force (-3.5) · Navyclosed−$16.3k Falcons vs. Saints · Saintsclosed−$16.1k Cardinals vs. Giants · Cardinalsclosed−$16.1k Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen−$13.0k

Open positions · 64

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	99.5k	94.5¢	95.1¢	$94.6k	+$583	$0	3mo
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	76.7k	95.8¢	97.5¢	$74.8k	+$1,304	−$51	3mo
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	28.4k	90.3¢	76.6¢	$21.8k	−$3,878	−$1,279	22d 0h
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	49.0k	31.9¢	43.5¢	$21.3k	+$5,710	+$22	22d 0h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	150k	18.2¢	9.5¢	$14.3k	−$13.1k	+$117	26d 0h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	139k	17.4¢	9.5¢	$13.2k	−$10.9k	+$300	26d 0h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	No	11.3k	97.5¢	96.9¢	$10.9k	−$71	−$598	23d 0h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	26.1k	53.9¢	37.5¢	$9,776	−$4,282	−$524	26d 0h
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	26.8k	54.7¢	35.5¢	$9,514	−$5,142	−$1,349	26d 0h
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	2,393	97.6¢	95.6¢	$2,286	−$49	$0	3mo
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	8,660	3¢	24.5¢	$2,117	+$1,859	+$990	22d 0h
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	3,662	21.1¢	22.5¢	$824	+$51	$0	9mo
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	1,049	39.9¢	61.5¢	$645	+$227	+$360	53d 0h
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	11.5k	1.3¢	3.8¢	$437	+$289	$0	3mo
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	5,120	1.5¢	6.9¢	$351	+$275	+$635	22d 0h
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	1,808	21.9¢	16¢	$289	−$107	+$34	3mo
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	4,372	11.6¢	6.5¢	$284	−$222	+$4.53	3mo
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	330	8.8¢	65.4¢	$216	+$187	$0	53d 0h
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	878	2¢	24.3¢	$214	+$196	$0	53d 0h
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	525	10.2¢	39¢	$205	+$151	$0	53d 0h
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	8,880	1.9¢	2.2¢	$191	+$22	$0	9mo
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	3,043	0.5¢	5.9¢	$180	+$164	$0	3mo
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,884	4¢	5¢	$143	+$27	$0	6mo
Raiders vs. Patriots	Raiders	360	41¢	37.5¢	$135	−$13	$0	2d 0h
Counter-Strike: Strael-Bora vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	ReThink	497	74¢	24¢	$119	−$248	$0	ended
Will Real Betis Seville win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	947	73.8¢	9¢	$85	−$613	−$34	ended
Browns vs. Jets	Jets	136	53¢	55.5¢	$75	+$3.40	−$0.60	2d 0h
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	309	12.5¢	22.6¢	$70	+$31	$0	3mo
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	1,603	1.2¢	2.7¢	$43	+$23	$0	3mo
Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	74	55¢	55.5¢	$41	+$0.37	$0	2d 0h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	2,730	0.8¢	1.4¢	$38	+$16	$0	3mo
49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	75	39¢	38.5¢	$29	−$0.37	$0	2d 0h
Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 45.5	Under	42	56¢	61¢	$26	+$2.10	$0	2d 0h
Will AD Ceuta win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	246	11.3¢	10.3¢	$25	−$2.60	$0	ended
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	25	94.9¢	89.4¢	$23	−$1.41	−$65	53d 0h
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	358	0.7¢	5.1¢	$18	+$16	$0	3mo
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	53	18.2¢	25.5¢	$14	+$3.88	$0	2d 0h
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	316	0.6¢	4.2¢	$13	+$11	$0	3mo
Texans vs. Titans	Titans	56	28¢	22.5¢	$13	−$3.08	$0	2d 0h
Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	25	23¢	50¢	$13	+$6.75	$0	ended
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	28	33¢	34.5¢	$9.66	+$0.42	$0	27m
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	462	3.9¢	1.9¢	$8.77	−$9.38	$0	3mo
Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	8	58¢	63.5¢	$5.08	+$0.44	$0	2d 0h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	700	1.3¢	0.5¢	$3.85	−$5.42	$0	3mo
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	1,166	0.5¢	0.3¢	$2.92	−$2.92	+$47	3mo
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	947	1.8¢	0.3¢	$2.37	−$15	$0	3mo
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	GoldRashers	4	45.8¢	50.1¢	$2.01	+$0.17	$0	ended
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	503	0.9¢	0.3¢	$1.51	−$3.00	+$84	3mo
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 35.5	Under	8	23¢	14.5¢	$1.16	−$0.68	$0	27m
Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	1,911	0.6¢	0.1¢	$0.96	−$11	+$66	3mo
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	1,804	0.3¢	0.1¢	$0.90	−$4.51	$0	3mo
Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	1,605	0.5¢	0.1¢	$0.80	−$6.97	$0	3mo
Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	1	62¢	75¢	$0.79	+$0.14	−$20	20d 0h
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	109	1.8¢	0.7¢	$0.71	−$1.25	$0	3mo
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	60	0.8¢	1¢	$0.57	+$0.09	+$58	3mo
Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	799	0.4¢	0.1¢	$0.40	−$2.80	$0	3mo
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	70	1.9¢	0.5¢	$0.32	−$1.02	+$67	3mo
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	190	2¢	0.2¢	$0.29	−$3.52	$0	3mo
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	560	0.9¢	0.1¢	$0.28	−$4.79	$0	3mo
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	101	0.9¢	0.1¢	$0.05	−$0.86	$0	3mo
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	23.3k	9.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2,119	+$100	22d 0h
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	9,963	13.8¢	0¢	$0	−$1,379	+$2,206	22d 0h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	8,011	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$142	+$80	22d 0h
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	2,071	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$57	+$386	53d 0h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	5¢	1,780	$89	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	3¢	1,221	$37	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	2¢	2,855	$57	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Falcons	Falcons vs. Saints	92¢	1,767	$1,626	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	14¢	2,437	$341	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	13¢	1,769	$230	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	15¢	3,821	$573	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	12¢	2,557	$307	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	14¢	1,760	$246	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	14¢	1,463	$205	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	13¢	3,378	$439	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	13¢	2,217	$288	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	16¢	1,128	$180	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	18¢	2,401	$432	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	16¢	1,150	$184	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Falcons	Falcons vs. Saints	86¢	2,917	$2,509	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Falcons	Falcons vs. Saints	85¢	2,012	$1,710	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Falcons	Falcons vs. Saints	84¢	2,698	$2,266	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	23¢	2,440	$561	45%	25
2d ago	BUY Saints	Falcons vs. Saints	26¢	1,181	$307	45%	25