sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

rocky42010

0x84d…298f
PnL 10k+1y+WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.0kvol $8.74M
PnL 30d−$2,055gains $6,575 · losses $4,395
PnL 7d−$1,861win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate54.1%adj 54.0% · 30d 57.0%
Open value$5,705cash n/a
Positions188 / 6,917open / all-time
Max drawdown−51.8%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.2kbelow peak −$12.7kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 54.1% · shrunk toward 50%35
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?No80834.5¢100¢$808+$530$0
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?No2778.3¢100¢$277+$254+$319
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?No26893¢95.5¢$256+$6.70$0
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No24690¢100¢$246+$25$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No59546.1¢39¢$232−$42−$7.11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No37258¢60.5¢$225+$9.31−$16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?No22176.9¢100¢$221+$51+$17
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?No15254.6¢100¢$152+$69−$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?No15056.4¢100¢$150+$66−$7.09
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?No14536.4¢100¢$145+$92+$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 9?No14160.3¢100¢$141+$56+$14
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No13191.7¢98¢$128+$8.19+$3.86
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes30043.9¢42.5¢$127−$4.22+$7.14
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No72018.2¢17.5¢$126−$4.99+$69
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes16960¢73.5¢$124+$23+$3.69
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No12097¢96.3¢$116−$0.90−$59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes30037¢38.5¢$116+$4.50$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes30022.1¢32¢$96+$30+$8.46
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes9984¢87.5¢$87+$3.48+$1.18
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes1,24221.7¢6.5¢$81−$188−$47
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes30028.7¢26¢$78−$8.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 2?Yes7618.9¢100¢$76+$62+$97
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 30?No7170.3¢100¢$71+$21−$0.52
Spread: Aruba (-2.5)Anguilla6542¢100¢$65+$37$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 7?No6387.4¢100¢$63+$7.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10?No6183¢100¢$61+$10+$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 9?No5963.2¢100¢$59+$22+$2.25
Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?No18748.2¢31.5¢$59−$31−$74
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 5?Yes5490.2¢100¢$54+$5.35+$23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 30?No5458.6¢100¢$54+$22+$8.22
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?No15034¢35¢$53+$1.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?No10063.8¢52.5¢$52−$11$0
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No1,20015.9¢4.3¢$52−$139$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 3?No4979.6¢100¢$49+$9.96+$26
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes30046.3¢16.1¢$48−$91$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 7?Yes4798.6¢100¢$47+$0.68+$30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10?No4575.2¢100¢$45+$11+$4.51
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 5 2026?Yes4482¢100¢$44+$7.92+$2.20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes29936.7¢13.5¢$40−$69−$35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2?No4068.6¢100¢$40+$13−$3.88
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,2502.2¢3.1¢$38+$10$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes30016¢12.5¢$38−$11$0
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Yes30023¢12.5¢$38−$32$0
Argentina vs. Bolivia: Argentina O/U 3.5Over3343¢100¢$33+$19+$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 2?No2957.4¢100¢$29+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 2?No2981.7¢100¢$29+$5.25−$0.02
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?No22315.7¢11.5¢$26−$9.39$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes30011.2¢8.5¢$26−$8.19$0
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?No1,2508¢1.7¢$21−$79$0
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes30018.6¢6.5¢$19−$36$0
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1997.3¢100¢$19+$0.50+$14
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes26712.6¢7¢$19−$15−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?No1753.1¢100¢$17+$8.15+$0.69
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes3007¢5.5¢$16−$4.56+$375
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes27921¢5.5¢$15−$43+$24
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes9263.3¢1.6¢$15−$16+$11
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Yes5026¢28.5¢$14+$1.25$0
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2511.2¢1.1¢$14−$0.90−$0.45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes47619.6¢2.9¢$14−$80+$44
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?No1432.3¢100¢$14+$9.16$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes30015¢4.5¢$13−$32+$325
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 5?No1358.3¢100¢$13+$5.59+$0.85
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6485.2¢2.1¢$13−$20+$4.33
Louisiana Team Total: O/U 20.5Over1261¢100¢$12+$4.68$0
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes15828.8¢7¢$11−$35+$58
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Yes12512.4¢8.8¢$11−$4.53+$11
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6034¢1.8¢$11−$14+$16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?Yes1025.7¢100¢$9.60+$7.13+$21
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,2491.7¢0.8¢$9.37−$12$0
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes30011¢3.1¢$9.15−$24−$9.00
Hurricanes vs. FlyersHurricanes1362¢66.5¢$8.73+$0.59$0
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes10010¢8.5¢$8.50−$1.50$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No5513.1¢13.5¢$7.41+$0.20−$5.74
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes10832.3¢6.5¢$7.03−$28+$31
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2473.7¢2.9¢$7.03−$2.10−$0.53
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No3424.2¢20.5¢$6.96−$1.24+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes16116¢3.8¢$6.14−$20+$0.94
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,2503.1¢0.5¢$5.62−$33$0
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,2491.6¢0.5¢$5.62−$14$0
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,2494.4¢0.5¢$5.62−$50+$14
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2491.9¢0.4¢$5.00−$19$0
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?No587¢100¢$4.88+$0.63+$0.53
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No564.5¢100¢$4.62+$1.64+$183
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?No578¢91.5¢$4.58+$0.68$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?Yes556¢100¢$4.55+$2.00$0
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2490.8¢0.4¢$4.37−$5.83$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?No447¢9.5¢$4.22+$1.11$0
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes8291.4¢0.5¢$3.73−$7.72−$0.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No1332¢27.5¢$3.59−$0.59−$7.27
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5092.2¢0.7¢$3.31−$8.07$0
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2511.1¢0.3¢$3.13−$10$0
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2501.4¢0.3¢$3.12−$14$0
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2491.1¢0.3¢$3.12−$11$0
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?Yes1,2490.8¢0.3¢$3.12−$7.41−$54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes1815¢17¢$3.06+$0.36$0
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No335.5¢96¢$2.98+$1.87−$25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9?No381.1¢100¢$2.54+$0.48$0
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No267.9¢93¢$2.21+$0.60+$50
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes766.6¢2.9¢$2.20−$2.81$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026?Yes253¢100¢$2.17+$1.02$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?50¢10$5.0054%58
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 9?44¢54$2454%58
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 9?51¢11$5.6154%58
SELL NoWill England win on 2026-10-06?15¢117$1854%58
SELL NoWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?90.2¢61$5554%58
SELL NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?28¢5$1.4054%58
SELL NoWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?91.1¢87$7954%58
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?33.7¢40$1354%58
SELL NoWill Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?18¢111$2054%58
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.6¢230$22054%58
SELL NoWill Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?26¢92$2454%58
SELL YesWill Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?17.4¢20$3.4854%58
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27?59¢10$5.9054%58
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.3¢252$24054%58
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26?57¢35$2054%58
SELL YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)48¢50$2454%58
SELL NoWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?54¢6$3.2454%58
SELL NoWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?54¢6$3.2454%58
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?48¢19$9.1254%58
SELL StarsWild vs. Stars59¢30$1854%58