PnL all-time+$245vol $15.5k
PnL 30d+$21gains $13 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$5.64win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.7%adj 73.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$583cash n/a
Positions14 / 68open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$286below peak −$137Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 82.7% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$250England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentinaclosed+$44Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$43Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$32Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$28
Worst markets
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 318 | 94.3¢ | 95.4¢ | $303 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | No | 247 | 81¢ | 87.5¢ | $216 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 44 | 90¢ | 88.8¢ | $39 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 25 | 80¢ | 91.5¢ | $23 | +$2.88 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 14 | 69¢ | 10.5¢ | $1.52 | −$8.48 | $0 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 577 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.44 | |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | Norway | 472 | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | −$3.63 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 440 | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 397 | 18.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73 | −$0.50 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 392 | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 232 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | Mexico | 107 | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.48 | |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 91 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 29 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.10 |
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