PnL all-time+$14.5kvol $149k
PnL 30d+$14.6kgains $15.3k · losses $715
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 57.1% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions1 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.9%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 20d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$14.9kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d32
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$7,471LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$3,899Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$3,809Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale? · Yesclosed+$2,470Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? · Yesclosed+$1,883
Worst markets
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? · Noclosed−$2,728Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? · Noclosed−$1,972Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? · Noclosed−$1,660LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$715Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? · Yesopen−$194
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | Yes | 230 | 83.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$192 | −$2.22 |
Recent trades
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