PnL all-time−$719vol $37.8k
PnL 30d+$179gains $188 · losses $530
PnL 7d+$121win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate91.6%adj 86.8% · 30d 93.5%
Open value$256cash n/a
Positions8 / 162open / all-time
Max drawdown−94.7%of equity peak
Account age47dlast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$685below peak −$764Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 91.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity5
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 29? · Noclosed+$43Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 29? · Noclosed+$26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 26? · Noclosed+$22Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9? · Noclosed+$20Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 29? · Noclosed+$18
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30? · Noclosed−$433Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28? · Noclosed−$337Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29? · Noclosed−$217Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31? · Noclosed−$83Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 31? · Noclosed−$18
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 12? | No | 248 | 99.2¢ | 99.6¢ | $246 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12? | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | 99.4¢ | $9.94 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 30? | Yes | 50 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.50 | −$0.28 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 7? | No | 10 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.60 | −$0.06 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 8? | No | 10 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.70 | −$0.03 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 1? | No | 10 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.80 | −$0.05 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 7? | No | 8 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.20 | −$0.09 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 7? | No | 8 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.36 | −$0.09 |
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