Traders/Rank #2,160

BlondBeast

0x852…3188@einmanneuropa

SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$28.0kvol $1.03M

PnL 30d+$3,353gains $7,367 · losses $3,876

PnL 7d+$3,434win rate 7d 94.1%

Win rate79.6%adj 78.4% · 30d 68.6%

Open value$5,179cash n/a

Positions44 / 2,125open / all-time

Max drawdown−17.0%of equity peak

Account age1.9ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$28.7kbelow peak −$22Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64

Adjusted win rateraw 79.6% · shrunk toward 50%96

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? · Yesclosed+$3,135 Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yesclosed+$851 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Yesclosed+$605 Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference? · Yesclosed+$592 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Yesclosed+$479

Worst markets

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yesclosed−$1,067 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Noclosed−$724 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$576 Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? · Yesopen−$431 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$311

Open positions · 44

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	4,200	78.6¢	83.5¢	$3,507	+$205	+$57	3mo
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	400	78¢	93.5¢	$374	+$62	$0	3mo
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	277	67.9¢	78¢	$216	+$28	$0	3mo
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	200	80¢	97.8¢	$196	+$36	$0	3mo
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	195	87.4¢	95.4¢	$186	+$16	$0	3mo
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	130	78¢	79.5¢	$103	+$1.95	$0	ended
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	140	67¢	68.5¢	$96	+$2.10	$0	25d 22h
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	100	81¢	95¢	$95	+$14	$0	3mo
Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	79	96.8¢	97.8¢	$78	+$0.79	$0	ended
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	65	61.7¢	87.6¢	$57	+$17	$0	3mo
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?	No	61	38.5¢	92.5¢	$57	+$33	$0	3mo
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	50	82¢	79.5¢	$40	−$1.25	$0	2mo
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	No	215	7.2¢	18¢	$39	+$23	$0	22d 22h
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	40	85¢	93.4¢	$37	+$3.36	$0	3mo
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	40	52.5¢	90¢	$36	+$15	$0	3mo
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	No	162	19.6¢	21¢	$34	+$2.20	$0	3mo
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	160	40¢	11.5¢	$18	−$46	$0	22d 22h
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?	No	10	60¢	73.5¢	$7.35	+$1.35	$0	3mo
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	100	5.1¢	2.2¢	$2.20	−$2.90	$0	3mo
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	47¢	5¢	$1.00	−$8.40	$0	3mo
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8	24.5¢	4.6¢	$0.36	−$1.55	$0	3mo
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	2,417	17.5¢	0¢	$0	−$424	−$6.64	ended
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	862	24.8¢	0¢	$0	−$214	−$5.06	ended
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	800	4¢	0¢	$0	−$32	$0	ended
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	Yes	565	23.1¢	0¢	$0	−$131	−$2.40	ended
Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	505	3.2¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$0.15	ended
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	465	6.7¢	0¢	$0	−$31	$0	ended
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	300	43¢	0¢	$0	−$129	$0	ended
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	300	32¢	0¢	$0	−$96	$0	ended
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	No	200	1¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	$0	ended
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	200	33¢	0¢	$0	−$66	−$0.39	ended
Will Trump say "Alamo" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	200	68¢	0¢	$0	−$136	−$1.74	ended
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	140	13.7¢	0¢	$0	−$19	$0	ended
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	BSW	100	21¢	0¢	$0	−$21	$0	3mo
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	100	2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	$0	ended
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?	Yes	75	12¢	0¢	$0	−$9.00	−$0.32	ended
Will Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	71	32.6¢	0¢	$0	−$23	$0	ended
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?	Yes	64	28¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$0.51	ended
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	40	42¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 11%?	Over	40	14¢	0¢	$0	−$5.60	$0	3mo
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	Yes	33	29¢	0¢	$0	−$9.51	−$0.27	ended
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	No	20	22¢	0¢	$0	−$4.33	−$0.14	ended
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	9	47¢	0¢	$0	−$4.36	−$0.09	ended
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his Science Summit remarks?	Yes	5	45¢	0¢	$0	−$2.25	−$0.05	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
8h ago	BUY Yes	Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his Science Summit remarks?	45¢	5	$2.25	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "NYPD" during his announcement?	99¢	67	$67	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his announcement?	98.9¢	70	$69	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his announcement?	50¢	50	$25	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY Yes	Will Mamdani say "Safe" or "Safer" or "Safety" during his announcement?	99.9¢	45	$45	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY No	Will the Mamdani’s announcement not air?	99.9¢	356	$356	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY Yes	Will Mamdani say "Budget" during his announcement?	50¢	50	$25	80%	82	Sharp
10h ago	BUY Yes	Will Mamdani say "Community" during his announcement?	98.5¢	128	$126	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	99.9¢	78	$78	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	89¢	556	$495	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Trump say "Border" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	73.4¢	242	$178	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will Trump say "Alamo" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	68¢	200	$136	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	98.3¢	30	$29	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "NYPD" during his announcement?	98¢	7	$6.83	80%	82	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "Trump" or "President" during his announcement?	97.1¢	59	$57	80%	82	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	8¢	100	$8.00	80%	82	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	6.5¢	115	$7.45	80%	82	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Yes	Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?	99¢	150	$149	80%	82	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "NYPD" during his announcement?	99¢	60	$59	80%	82	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will Mamdani say "Trump" or "President" during his announcement?	97¢	51	$49	80%	82	Sharp