PnL all-time−$20.4kvol $35.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$103cash n/a
Positions8 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 2y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$20.4kbelow peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
8/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$177Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20? · Yesclosed+$49Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris? · Yesclosed+$6.67Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? · Noopen+$2.88Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? · Yesclosed+$0.37
Worst markets
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesopen−$16.4kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$3,831Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend? · Yesclosed−$125Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? · Yesopen−$70Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? · Yesopen−$50
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? | No | 103 | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $103 | +$2.88 | $0 | |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | 21.7k | 75.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.4k | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7,632 | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,831 | $0 | |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | Yes | 1,724 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34 | Yes | 1,000 | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Qualcomm acquire Intel? | Yes | 759 | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64 | Yes | 500 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 198 | 35.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 |
Recent trades
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