sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,022

dddtrips

0x856…0c43
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$56.6kvol $5.87M
PnL 30d−$7,941gains $30.5k · losses $5,740
PnL 7d−$18.5kwin rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate70.7%adj 69.9% · 30d 73.0%
Open value$5,417cash n/a
Positions1,008 / 1,991open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$42.7kbelow peak −$42.7kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.7% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes3,62641.4¢62.5¢$2,266+$764$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes5,48230.2¢34.1¢$1,869+$215$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes2,59518.4¢27.4¢$710+$231$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes2,33113.9¢13.3¢$310−$14$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes1,00031¢25.5¢$255−$55$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes10511.8¢3.1¢$3.20−$9.15$0
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes917.8¢0.9¢$0.82−$6.23$0
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1965.5¢0.3¢$0.59−$10$0
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes3002.2¢0.1¢$0.15−$6.41$0
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes2762.3¢0.1¢$0.14−$6.34$0
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes2513.1¢0.1¢$0.13−$7.66$0
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes2503¢0.1¢$0.13−$7.31$0
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes2000.9¢0.1¢$0.10−$1.69$0
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1991.7¢0.1¢$0.10−$3.36$0
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1532.1¢0.1¢$0.08−$3.13$0
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1501.2¢0.1¢$0.07−$1.66$0
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes303.6¢0.3¢$0.07−$1.00$0
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1301.2¢0.1¢$0.07−$1.46$0
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1151¢0.1¢$0.06−$1.06$0
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes500k0.2¢0¢$0−$1,000−$30
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100.0k1.8¢0¢$0−$1,788−$53
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes75.0k3.1¢0¢$0−$2,293−$67
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes30.5k2.7¢0¢$0−$814−$39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes30.5k12.4¢0¢$0−$3,790−$155
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes30.5k5.3¢0¢$0−$1,612−$72
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes30.0k1.4¢0¢$0−$430−$21
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$80−$2.39
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$80−$2.39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Yes14.0k1.8¢0¢$0−$252−$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes12.5k2.1¢0¢$0−$267−$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes12.5k11.4¢0¢$0−$1,428−$62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes12.5k3.5¢0¢$0−$435−$21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes12.0k19.6¢0¢$0−$2,353−$93
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes11.7k2.4¢0¢$0−$282−$14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes11.3k3.8¢0¢$0−$425−$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes10.9k8.5¢0¢$0−$932−$42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes10.5k5.6¢0¢$0−$586−$28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes10.1k47.7¢0¢$0−$4,828−$107
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes10.0k26.5¢0¢$0−$2,654−$97
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes10.0k6.2¢0¢$0−$624$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Yes10.0k21.2¢0¢$0−$2,122−$83
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.88
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes10.0k9.8¢0¢$0−$979$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes10,0008.6¢0¢$0−$862$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes10,0001.1¢0¢$0−$111−$5.46
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes9,9896.7¢0¢$0−$670$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes9,9159.2¢0¢$0−$916$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes9,8838.3¢0¢$0−$817$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes9,75719.6¢0¢$0−$1,910−$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes9,7387¢0¢$0−$684$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes9,71514.2¢0¢$0−$1,379$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes9,5004.5¢0¢$0−$431$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes9,4953¢0¢$0−$287$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes9,35114.6¢0¢$0−$1,369$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes9,2805¢0¢$0−$462$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes9,1516.8¢0¢$0−$619−$27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes9,0128.4¢0¢$0−$761$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes9,0007.4¢0¢$0−$665$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes8,90014.3¢0¢$0−$1,275$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes8,71222.9¢0¢$0−$1,994$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Yes8,51115¢0¢$0−$1,273$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes8,2549.4¢0¢$0−$776$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes8,2393¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes8,1008.6¢0¢$0−$696$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes8,09612¢0¢$0−$972$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes8,0242.3¢0¢$0−$185$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes8,0127.7¢0¢$0−$620$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes8,01013.2¢0¢$0−$1,057$0
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?Yes8,0067.8¢0¢$0−$622$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes8,00014.6¢0¢$0−$1,167−$398
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,00039¢0¢$0−$3,120−$95
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,00010.4¢0¢$0−$834+$1,242
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,00012.7¢0¢$0−$1,016−$38
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,0006.5¢0¢$0−$517−$14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes7,99512.9¢0¢$0−$1,029$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes7,90012.8¢0¢$0−$1,011$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes7,7789.8¢0¢$0−$760$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes7,6609.4¢0¢$0−$719$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes7,6409.2¢0¢$0−$700$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes7,6281.8¢0¢$0−$136$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes7,6142.3¢0¢$0−$174−$8.37
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes7,60013.2¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes7,6002¢0¢$0−$151$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes7,57311.3¢0¢$0−$853−$37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes7,5532¢0¢$0−$152−$7.43
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes7,5405.5¢0¢$0−$411$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes7,5364¢0¢$0−$302−$14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes7,5057.2¢0¢$0−$540$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes7,5002.8¢0¢$0−$209−$9.77
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes7,47120.5¢0¢$0−$1,531−$60
Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?Yes7,42413.6¢0¢$0−$1,008−$35
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes7,3951.2¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes7,3694.8¢0¢$0−$350−$16
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in January 2026?Yes7,3536.4¢0¢$0−$468$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes7,2789.7¢0¢$0−$704$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes7,27513.4¢0¢$0−$974$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes7,24414.3¢0¢$0−$1,037$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes7,1597.6¢0¢$0−$547$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes7,12741.4¢0¢$0−$2,951−$84
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes7,10218.8¢0¢$0−$1,338$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?35.2¢247$8771%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?18.4¢490$9071%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?13.9¢2,331$32471%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?18.4¢2,053$37871%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?18.4¢1,703$31471%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?41.4¢3,626$1,50371%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?37.2¢954$35571%39
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?53.5¢320$17171%39
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?53.7¢580$31271%39
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?54.9¢797$43771%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?59.4¢438$26071%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?57.6¢151$8771%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?57.7¢490$28371%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?56.2¢446$25171%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?55.2¢1,356$74871%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?25¢164$4171%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?24.9¢398$9971%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?36.6¢562$20671%39
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?34.3¢3,363$1,15271%39
BUY Arkansas StateSouth Alabama vs. Arkansas State59¢500$29571%39