PnL all-time+$11.8kvol $58.8k
PnL 30d+$178gains $77 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$18win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.9%adj 62.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$8,472cash n/a
Positions8 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.1%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$11.9kbelow peak −$46Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$11.5kUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Noclosed+$226Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yesclosed+$133Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Noopen+$68Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Noopen+$53
Worst markets
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yesclosed−$140Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$20Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250? · Yesopen−$9.98Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? · Noopen−$2.42
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 89.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $2,745 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 2,260 | 88.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $2,068 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1,310 | 95.4¢ | 97¢ | $1,270 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,067 | 93.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,008 | +$8.37 | $0 | |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 521 | 96¢ | 95.6¢ | $498 | −$2.42 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 580 | 80.9¢ | 77.5¢ | $450 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 500 | 78¢ | 86.5¢ | $433 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250? | Yes | 384 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.98 | $0 |
Recent trades
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