sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,614

AJM96

0x85b…6b6a
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$101kvol $10.2M
PnL 30d+$96gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,935win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.5%adj 67.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$85.1kcash n/a
Positions90 / 485open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.3%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$121kbelow peak −$2,171Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 68.5% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 90

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes64.0k32.8¢96.1¢$61.5k+$40.5k+$2,251
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No75.9k17.6¢9.5¢$7,210−$6,121$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k52.8¢48.4¢$7,029−$635−$2,786
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes3,57262.2¢98.8¢$3,529+$1,306+$32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes12.4k25.6¢14.9¢$1,840−$1,333$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,42051¢63.5¢$1,536+$302$0
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No68186.9¢99.9¢$681+$89$0
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?No46084¢94.5¢$434+$48+$7.00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes39.5k26.1¢0.9¢$336−$9,975+$558
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes13.4k1.4¢2.4¢$315+$127$0
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes56947.5¢44.5¢$253−$17$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes30.4k10.7¢0.6¢$182−$3,074−$670
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes21950¢62.5¢$137+$27$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes29.4k7¢0.3¢$73−$1,983−$1.26
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes29.3k9.2¢0.2¢$44−$2,645$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes1,79319.4¢0.9¢$15−$332+$32
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4262.9¢2.7¢$11−$1.07$0
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No142k1.1¢0¢$0−$1,521−$9.21
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes47.3k1.3¢0¢$0−$625−$24
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes39.1k30.4¢0¢$0−$11.9k+$929
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?Yes27.4k53¢0¢$0−$14.5k+$1.30
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes22.0k15.7¢0¢$0−$3,437−$64
Will South Africa win?No12.2k35.8¢0¢$0−$4,359$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes11.7k42¢0¢$0−$4,909−$91
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes10.6k9.6¢0¢$0−$1,015$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?Yes10.5k36.8¢0¢$0−$3,870$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No10.2k82¢0¢$0−$8,343$0
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No10,0006.8¢0¢$0−$680−$160
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Yes9,81556.8¢0¢$0−$5,574$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?Yes8,82434¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No7,43157.3¢0¢$0−$4,258−$46
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes7,38345.5¢0¢$0−$3,361−$2,177
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes7,27016.3¢0¢$0−$1,185+$5.45
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes6,9798.2¢0¢$0−$572−$147
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes6,45024.6¢0¢$0−$1,588−$47
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?Yes6,10127.7¢0¢$0−$1,692$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?Yes6,07624¢0¢$0−$1,458$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?No6,02565¢0¢$0−$3,916−$4.57
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No5,71330¢0¢$0−$1,714$0
Bills vs. BroncosBills5,63965.7¢0¢$0−$3,702$0
Rams vs. BearsBears5,00047¢0¢$0−$2,350+$1,189
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Yes5,00061¢0¢$0−$3,050$0
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?Yes5,00030¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes4,72473.5¢0¢$0−$3,472−$1,521
Will England win?Yes4,3767.3¢0¢$0−$320−$8.86
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes4,3588.1¢0¢$0−$353$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes4,34922.4¢0¢$0−$974$0
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No4,28133¢0¢$0−$1,413−$46
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes4,18312.6¢0¢$0−$527$0
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes4,00248.5¢0¢$0−$1,941−$25
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?No4,00082¢0¢$0−$3,280$0
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No3,68773.8¢0¢$0−$2,723−$20
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?No3,55534.4¢0¢$0−$1,222−$3.63
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No3,44655¢0¢$0−$1,895+$278
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes3,36049.9¢0¢$0−$1,676$0
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes3,08630.6¢0¢$0−$946$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2,9254.5¢0¢$0−$131$0
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes2,84210.5¢0¢$0−$298$0
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes2,7610.8¢0¢$0−$23−$0.03
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes2,62511¢0¢$0−$287−$1.57
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs2,50041¢0¢$0−$1,025$0
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2,37924.6¢0¢$0−$585$0
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No1,85839.9¢0¢$0−$741$0
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No1,76875¢0¢$0−$1,326−$1,860
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes1,71714.5¢0¢$0−$248$0
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes1,4954.8¢0¢$0−$71$0
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No1,35842.3¢0¢$0−$575−$15
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes1,25562.7¢0¢$0−$788−$8.80
Will the match end in a draw?Yes1,14462.9¢0¢$0−$719$0
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?Yes1,01724.5¢0¢$0−$249−$7.31
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes93814.8¢0¢$0−$139$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes82117¢0¢$0−$139$0
Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?Yes6985¢0¢$0−$35−$0.23
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes5961.6¢0¢$0−$9.70−$1,252
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes58471.9¢0¢$0−$420−$4.72
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes4545.5¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No39656.9¢0¢$0−$226$0
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes36238.4¢0¢$0−$139+$1,830
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes32924¢0¢$0−$79−$3.00
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes27312¢0¢$0−$33−$0.86
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes16923.8¢0¢$0−$40−$0.98
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes11832¢0¢$0−$38−$0.31
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes8229¢0¢$0−$24−$0.85
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?No6650.2¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes4430¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes2415¢0¢$0−$3.60$0
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes237.9¢0¢$0−$1.84$0
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No1427¢0¢$0−$3.79$0
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?Yes450¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Darts Championship?Yes12.1¢0¢$0−$0.03$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?6¢430$2669%61
BUY NoWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?0.9¢14.0k$12669%61
BUY YesWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?1¢31.6k$31669%61
SELL YesWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?28¢629$17669%61
SELL YesWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?48¢4,448$2,13569%61
BUY YesWill Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?47.5¢569$27169%61
BUY NoWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?0.8¢10.7k$8569%61
BUY NoWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?1¢862$8.6269%61
BUY YesWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?2¢15.2k$30569%61
SELL YesWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?6¢1,758$10569%61
BUY YesWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?88¢178$15769%61
SELL NoWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?12.1¢1,254$15269%61
SELL NoWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?15.5¢189$2969%61
SELL NoWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?16.2¢547$8969%61
BUY YesWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?83.8¢200$16869%61
SELL NoWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?16.5¢1,010$16769%61
BUY YesWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?83.2¢3,265$2,71669%61
BUY YesWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?83.9¢71$6069%61
BUY YesWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?75.7¢91$6969%61
BUY YesWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?57.7¢6,000$3,46169%61