| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 1,249 | 17.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,105 | +$890 | +$5.12 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11? | No | 409 | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | $409 | +$167 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5? | Up | 300 | 41¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$177 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 543 | 42.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $263 | +$33 | +$16 | |
| Will Christian Savard win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | No | 262 | 43¢ | 100¢ | $262 | +$149 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | No | 805 | 24.7¢ | 30.5¢ | $246 | +$46 | +$1.20 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 233 | 93.1¢ | 94.2¢ | $219 | +$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 11? | No | 205 | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | $205 | +$75 | −$9.20 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 2? | No | 204 | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | $204 | +$41 | +$3.04 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 216 | 91.4¢ | 94.1¢ | $204 | +$5.73 | +$8.71 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 2? | No | 201 | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | $201 | +$59 | −$0.23 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 30? | No | 199 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $199 | +$52 | +$3.65 | |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 10? | No | 179 | 58.8¢ | 100¢ | $179 | +$74 | +$17 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4? | No | 168 | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | $168 | +$45 | +$0.32 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9? | Yes | 161 | 64¢ | 100¢ | $161 | +$58 | −$0.54 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1? | No | 149 | 47.1¢ | 100¢ | $149 | +$79 | −$18 | |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Under | 140 | 32.4¢ | 100¢ | $140 | +$95 | −$1.28 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 136 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $136 | +$12 | +$8.09 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 195 | 58¢ | 68¢ | $133 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | No | 1,172 | 20¢ | 10.5¢ | $123 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 6? | No | 120 | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | $120 | +$34 | +$1.56 | |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? | No | 119 | 39.8¢ | 100¢ | $119 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 46.7¢ | 39.5¢ | $118 | −$21 | −$8.72 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? | No | 117 | 64¢ | 100¢ | $117 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 1,009 | 30.4¢ | 11.5¢ | $116 | −$190 | −$65 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6? | No | 110 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$29 | −$4.90 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 1? | Yes | 110 | 12.9¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$96 | +$9.81 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 103 | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | $103 | +$3.40 | +$2.31 | |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 6? | No | 102 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $102 | +$6.08 | +$2.19 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | No | 142 | 68.1¢ | 69.5¢ | $99 | +$1.97 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6? | No | 99 | 48¢ | 100¢ | $99 | +$51 | −$0.02 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? | No | 98 | 38.2¢ | 100¢ | $98 | +$60 | −$2.50 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | No | 133 | 54¢ | 67.5¢ | $90 | +$18 | +$2.23 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 9? | No | 90 | 69¢ | 100¢ | $90 | +$28 | +$0.58 | |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | No | 89 | 18.4¢ | 100¢ | $89 | +$72 | +$103 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 426 | 42.8¢ | 20.5¢ | $87 | −$95 | +$46 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 107 | 46.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $86 | +$36 | +$98 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | Yes | 86 | 46¢ | 100¢ | $86 | +$46 | +$0.10 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 104 | 76.9¢ | 80.5¢ | $83 | +$3.69 | +$3.73 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 2? | Yes | 82 | 40.3¢ | 100¢ | $82 | +$49 | +$22 | |
| Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? | No | 270 | 26¢ | 30¢ | $81 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Spread: Arizona (-7.5) | Arizona | 80 | 47¢ | 100¢ | $80 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 104 | 76.6¢ | 76.6¢ | $80 | −$0.11 | +$0.60 | |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | No | 89 | 90¢ | 89.9¢ | $80 | −$0.08 | +$7.86 | |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes | 826 | 12¢ | 9¢ | $74 | −$25 | +$2.58 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 2? | No | 72 | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | $72 | +$21 | +$0.15 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? | Yes | 69 | 32.5¢ | 100¢ | $69 | +$46 | +$37 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 1? | No | 67 | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | $67 | +$13 | +$8.32 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | No | 102 | 61.8¢ | 65.5¢ | $67 | +$3.75 | +$15 | |
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 64 | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | $64 | +$26 | −$41 | |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 97 | 64¢ | 65¢ | $63 | +$0.97 | +$14 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11? | Yes | 60 | 38¢ | 100¢ | $60 | +$37 | +$0.02 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 40.5¢ | 19.5¢ | $58 | −$63 | +$15 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 30? | No | 55 | 51.8¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$26 | +$0.51 | |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 1,229 | 1.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $55 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 80 | 69¢ | 67.8¢ | $54 | −$0.98 | +$5.10 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | Yes | 53 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $53 | +$21 | −$5.75 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 4? | No | 53 | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | $53 | +$16 | +$3.56 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10? | No | 53 | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | $53 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 6? | No | 52 | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | $52 | +$18 | +$11 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30? | No | 52 | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | $52 | +$6.49 | −$3.75 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 6? | No | 51 | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | $51 | +$12 | +$1.47 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 299 | 28¢ | 17¢ | $51 | −$33 | +$16 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6? | No | 48 | 30.3¢ | 100¢ | $48 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | Solary | 46 | 55¢ | 100¢ | $46 | +$21 | +$14 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026? | No | 73 | 45¢ | 63¢ | $46 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 47 | 88.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $45 | +$3.27 | −$11 | |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 570 | 2.2¢ | 7.7¢ | $44 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 42 | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $42 | +$2.72 | +$0.16 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | No | 42 | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | $42 | +$8.20 | −$5.58 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 57 | 68¢ | 73¢ | $42 | +$2.84 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4? | Yes | 41 | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | $41 | +$4.74 | +$113 | |
| Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | No | 50 | 79¢ | 81¢ | $40 | +$0.99 | +$0.03 | |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5) | Solary | 40 | 31¢ | 100¢ | $40 | +$28 | +$1.60 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6? | No | 39 | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | $39 | +$8.66 | +$5.88 | |
| Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 124 | 17.5¢ | 31¢ | $39 | +$17 | −$0.34 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 30? | No | 38 | 7¢ | 100¢ | $38 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 108 | 42.7¢ | 35.1¢ | $38 | −$8.30 | −$13 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30? | No | 37 | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | $37 | +$14 | +$28 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30? | No | 36 | 50.7¢ | 100¢ | $36 | +$18 | +$0.39 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2? | No | 36 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $36 | +$7.45 | +$2.11 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 6? | No | 35 | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | $35 | +$21 | +$4.23 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.50 and $8.00 on November 30, 2026? | No | 43 | 80¢ | 81.5¢ | $35 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | No | 35 | 55¢ | 100¢ | $35 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 2? | No | 34 | 68¢ | 100¢ | $34 | +$11 | +$1.93 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 2? | No | 34 | 47.4¢ | 100¢ | $34 | +$18 | +$2.36 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 244 | 26¢ | 14¢ | $34 | −$29 | +$101 | |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 97 | 43.7¢ | 35¢ | $34 | −$8.46 | −$0.24 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 1? | No | 33 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $33 | +$9.28 | +$8.34 | |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 31 | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | $31 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 30 | 67¢ | 100¢ | $30 | +$9.94 | +$6.83 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 30 | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | $30 | +$1.41 | −$1.15 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13? | No | 37 | 81¢ | 80¢ | $29 | −$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? | No | 68 | 44.8¢ | 43¢ | $29 | −$1.24 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 2? | No | 29 | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | $29 | +$7.22 | −$13 | |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | Yes | 302 | 11.9¢ | 9.5¢ | $29 | −$7.34 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11? | No | 28 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $28 | +$3.06 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 80 | 35¢ | 34.5¢ | $28 | −$0.40 | −$19 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 2? | No | 26 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $26 | +$7.34 | +$1.34 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13? | No | 94 | 30.3¢ | 28¢ | $26 | −$2.15 | $0 | |