PnL all-time+$3,813vol $65.9k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.5%adj 67.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$421cash n/a
Positions3 / 108open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 10mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,813below peak −$397Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 70.5% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? · Yesclosed+$4,013Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed+$1,001Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? · Noclosed+$935Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Yesclosed+$506Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? · Yesclosed+$358
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | Yes | 421 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $421 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | No | 878 | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$160 | $0 | |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 14 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.96 | $0 |
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