sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,484

Azrarn

0x863…9a73
WhaleWR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$132kvol $4.94M
PnL 30d−$8,147gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,016win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.2%adj 67.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$16.6kcash n/a
Positions16 / 252open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$139kbelow peak −$201kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d84
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No13.7k69.1¢94¢$12.9k+$3,403$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes22.4k40.8¢15.5¢$3,465−$5,646−$1,574
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes5,46859.8¢2.8¢$153−$3,115−$8,150
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes2,17472.9¢5.5¢$120−$1,466−$4,644
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No40.0k60.5¢0¢$0−$24.2k+$4,128
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No32.5k56.9¢0¢$0−$18.5k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No16.4k74.2¢0¢$0−$12.1k$0
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?Yes8,89210.6¢0¢$0−$939−$15
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?Yes3,77952.5¢0¢$0−$1,985$0
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?Yes3,67918.4¢0¢$0−$679−$16
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?Yes3,58934.6¢0¢$0−$1,241−$387
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?Yes2,34839.6¢0¢$0−$930$0
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?Yes2,27018.3¢0¢$0−$416$0
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?Yes1,29718.1¢0¢$0−$235−$322
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Yes1,01151.8¢0¢$0−$523$0
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Yes57035.8¢0¢$0−$204−$221

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?20¢2,348$47069%36
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?6¢7$0.3969%36
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?10¢460$4669%36
SELL YesWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?5¢7$0.3369%36
SELL YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?4¢1,635$6569%36
SELL YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?5¢464$2369%36
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?18¢101$1869%36
SELL YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?6¢2,664$16069%36
SELL YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?7¢2,868$20169%36
SELL YesWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?9¢2,673$24169%36
SELL YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?8¢207$1769%36
SELL YesWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?10¢1,687$16969%36
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?73.7¢634$46769%36
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?89¢4,609$4,10269%36
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?75.9¢238$18169%36
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?76.1¢176$13469%36
SELL YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?4¢12.5k$50069%36
SELL YesWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?4¢30.6k$1,22469%36
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?70¢3,982$2,78769%36
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?44.1¢2,000$88269%36