sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,638

hwey346ed

0x863…39bd
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$718vol $82.2k
PnL 30d+$2,062gains $685 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,071win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 68.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$46.2kcash n/a
Positions17 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.9%of equity peak
Account age50dlast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,960below peak −$315Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No16.6k89.9¢93.1¢$15.5k+$540$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No10.4k98.9¢99.2¢$10.4k+$27$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No8,14889.5¢91.5¢$7,455+$166$0
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?No2,41298.2¢99.4¢$2,397+$28$0
US recession by end of 2026?No2,00093¢93.5¢$1,870+$10$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No2,00091¢92.5¢$1,850+$30$0
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No1,53190.4¢90¢$1,378−$5.79$0
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No1,32993¢93.7¢$1,245+$9.22$0
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No1,10395¢96.4¢$1,063+$16$0
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?No81874¢92.5¢$757+$151$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No1,00060¢73.5¢$735+$135$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No69399.1¢100¢$692+$5.89+$2.51
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No92061¢71.5¢$658+$97$0
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No28590.7¢93.2¢$266+$7.14$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No170.4¢66.3¢$0.67−$0.04+$124
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes9751¢0¢$0−$9.75−$0.39
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?Yes21538¢0¢$0−$82−$2.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?99¢3,000$2,970100%40
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?98.9¢2,442$2,416100%40
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?98.8¢5,000$4,941100%40
BUY NoWill Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?90.7¢285$259100%40
BUY NoNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?91¢800$728100%40
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?93¢2,000$1,860100%40
BUY YesWill any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?98.7¢56$55100%40
BUY NoWill claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?99.5¢170$169100%40
BUY NoMax Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?74¢818$606100%40
BUY NoWill claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?98¢0$0.41100%40
BUY NoWill claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?99.9¢392$392100%40
BUY NoWill claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?99.9¢2,030$2,028100%40
BUY NoWill claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?99.9¢876$875100%40
BUY NoSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?94¢1,152$1,083100%40
BUY NoH.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?95¢1,092$1,038100%40
BUY NoWill Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?90.5¢1,131$1,024100%40
BUY NoSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?93¢1,000$930100%40
BUY NoSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?92¢674$620100%40
BUY NoGovernment shutdown by October 1?99.9¢150$150100%40
BUY NoNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?91¢1,032$939100%40