sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Mica1

0x863…9657
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,724vol $407k
PnL 30d−$21gains $669 · losses $119
PnL 7d−$31win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.0%adj 90.4% · 30d 91.7%
Open value$5,165cash n/a
Positions103 / 945open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 5m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,639below peak −$4,544Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?No80731¢96.1¢$776+$525$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No33874¢99¢$334+$84$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No30981¢96.5¢$298+$48$0
Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?No30981¢94.4¢$292+$41$0
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No29585¢94.6¢$279+$28$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes34472.9¢79.5¢$273+$23$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No28089.5¢97.6¢$273+$23$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No27890¢96.7¢$269+$19$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No27890¢96.4¢$268+$18$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No27292.1¢97.8¢$266+$15$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No27292¢96.6¢$263+$13$0
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?No27392¢96.3¢$262+$12$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No27292¢96.2¢$262+$11$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No29186¢86¢$250−$0.08$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No27591¢71.5¢$197−$54$0
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?No15480.2¢74¢$114−$9.59$0
Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes16974¢61.5¢$104−$21$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No10085¢97¢$97+$12$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No54423¢13.5¢$73−$52$0
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Yes20562¢30.5¢$63−$64$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes20735.1¢30¢$62−$11$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No33175.6¢12.5¢$41−$209$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes47253¢5.5¢$26−$224$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes35870¢6.4¢$23−$228$0
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes3,6526¢0¢$0−$219+$5.15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No94026.6¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes9338.9¢0¢$0−$83$0
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?No89328¢0¢$0−$250$0
Magic vs. HornetsHornets59642¢0¢$0−$250$0
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes56922¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?No54446¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?No54446¢0¢$0−$250$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10AM ETUp49151¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?No44955.8¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?No44756¢0¢$0−$251$0
US recession in 2025?Yes44756¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?No43258¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?Yes38565¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes37467¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?No36468.8¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will Trump say "Elon" this week?Yes36369¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?No36369¢0¢$0−$250−$3.88
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No35870¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?No35371¢0¢$0−$251$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes34373¢0¢$0−$250$0
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?No34073.5¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?No34071.3¢0¢$0−$242$0
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-02?No33874¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes32976¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No30582¢0¢$0−$250$0
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt30183¢0¢$0−$250−$1.27
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes30183¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?No29585¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes29186¢0¢$0−$250$0
Bitcoin above $111.5K on August 25 at 8PM ET?Yes29186¢0¢$0−$250$0
Utah State vs. Fresno StateFresno State28887¢0¢$0−$251$0
USD - Korean Won exchange rate hits 1,500 by March 31?No28887¢0¢$0−$251$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No28887¢0¢$0−$251$0
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)Heroic28588¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-03?Yes28383¢0¢$0−$235+$2.04
ECB rate hike in 2026?No28359.2¢0¢$0−$168+$2.50
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes27890¢0¢$0−$250$0
Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus WilliamsWilliams27790.2¢0¢$0−$250$0
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Natus Vincere27591¢0¢$0−$250$0
Australian Open Women's: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Renee AlameAlame27292¢0¢$0−$250$0
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5Over24651¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes22855¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes22456¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2025-12-14?No20960¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Yes20441¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will FC St. Gallen 1879 win on 2026-07-26?No20088¢0¢$0−$176−$0.03
Will Trump say "Beautiful clean coal" this week?Yes19811¢0¢$0−$22$0
FC Inter Turku vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 3.5Over16974¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08?Yes15979¢0¢$0−$126−$0.07
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over15083.5¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?No14487¢0¢$0−$125−$0.81
Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-08-02?No13990¢0¢$0−$125−$0.48
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois BoissonLois Boisson13891¢0¢$0−$126−$0.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana SierraSolana Sierra13565¢0¢$0−$88−$0.92
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?No13295¢0¢$0−$125−$0.31
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor TownsendTownsend12183¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes11970¢0¢$0−$83$0
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes10977¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes10858.2¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Yes10778¢0¢$0−$83$0
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre MullerMuller4786¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Trump say "Not an Autopen" or "Not an Auto Pen" in April?Yes3535¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Fort Liberty" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes3033¢0¢$0−$9.90$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)Yes2942¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?Yes2745¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?Yes2452¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?Yes2257¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?No2159¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)Yes2150¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?Yes1870¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)Yes1869¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes1855¢0¢$0−$9.90$0
Will Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?Yes1771¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)Yes1678¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Yes1584¢0¢$0−$13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?85.9¢257$22192%46
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET83¢5$4.1592%46
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 15?70.9¢165$11792%46
BUY NoWill Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?69¢363$25092%46
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?82¢21$1792%46
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?81¢10$8.1092%46
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?80¢34$2792%46
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?80¢75$6092%46
BUY NoWill USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?78.7¢15$1292%46
BUY YesWill USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?63¢100$6392%46
BUY YesWill USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?60¢5$3.0092%46
BUY YesWill USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?61¢100$6192%46
BUY YesWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08?86¢82$7192%46
BUY Qinwen ZhengUS Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng93¢269$25092%46
BUY YesWill Santos FC win on 2026-09-06?90¢5$4.5092%46
BUY YesWill Santos FC win on 2026-09-06?88.8¢278$24792%46
BUY NoWill Tromsø IL win on 2026-09-06?84¢298$25092%46
BUY YesWill Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-09-06?83¢302$25192%46
BUY NoWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-09-06?75¢156$11792%46
BUY NoWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-09-06?74¢10$7.4092%46